Rei Tsuruya vs Luis Gurule Pick, 05/30/2026 Predictions UFC Macau Odds
Rei Tsuruya vs Luis Gurule
UFC Macau
Galaxy Arena in Macau, China
Saturday, May 30, 2026
Rei Tsuruya will take on Luis Gurule at UFC Macau on Saturday, May 30, 2026. The opening line has Tsuruya at -290 while Gurule is coming in at +250.
Rei Tsuruya comes into this fight with a record of 10-1-0. The 23-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Luis "Grim" Gurule stands in at 5'5" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-3-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 64". Concerning significant strikes, Rei Tsuruya is landing 2.24 per minute and Luis Gurule is connecting on 5.70 significant strikes per min. Tsuruya is landing 52% of the significant strikes he throws while Gurule connects on 43%. Regarding defense, Tsuruya absorbs 2.01 significant strikes per min and "Grim" takes 5.37. Tsuruya also curbs 42% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Gurule is able to deflect 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.

| UFC Macau | Rei Tsuruya | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -290 | +250 |
| Record | 10-1-0 | 11-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:16 | 13:23 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 64" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.24 | 5.70 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 43% |
In the wrestling category, Rei Tsuruya is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 5.06 times per 15 minutes. Tsuruya is scoring a takedown on 37% of his attempts and is stuffing 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. Gurule is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 59% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Tsuruya is the more able fighter by attempting 1.9 finishes per 3 rounds while Gurule attempts 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Rei Tsuruya faced Joshua Van and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Van landed 127 of 169 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Tsuruya walked away from this fight having landed 47 of 104 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Van ended up landing 59 of 97, which means his percentage was 60%. He landed 39 of 74 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Tsuruya ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes by connecting on 32 of 84. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 28 of 78 pointed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Van and 100% of them connected on by Tsuruya were done at distance.
In the last bout for Luis Gurule, he squared up with Daniel Barez and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Barez ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Gurule landed 89% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Gurule connected on 49% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 149 of 299. He ended up connecting on 129 of 273 significant strikes aimed at the head. Barez ended up connecting on 113 of 246 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 79 of 208 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Barez ended up connecting on 117 of 252 and Gurule ended up connecting on 178 of 335 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Loma Lookboonmee squares up against Jaqueline Amorim. Lookboonmee walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-4-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 61". Amorim comes in at 5'3" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 10-2-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 68". When it comes to grappling, Loma Lookboonmee gets a takedown 1.81 times per 15 minutes and Jaqueline Amorim takes her opponents to the canvas 2.16 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Lookboonmee tags his opponents 3.67 strikes/min and is connecting on 55% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Jaqueline Amorim, who lands 50% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 2.43 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Deiveson Figueiredo is set to face off against Song Yadong. Yadong has a career mark of 22-9-1 (1 NC). The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Figueiredo measures 5'5" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 25-6-1. The 38-year-old has an arm span of 68". In terms of wrestling, Song Yadong is able to deflect 73% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of his tries. Figueiredo is finishing his takedowns on 35% of his attempts and is able to thwart 57% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Yadong takes 3.94 strikes/minute while he deals 4.42 strikes per min. Figueiredo, on the other hand, is taking 3.47 strikes/min and is landing 2.63 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Rei Tsuruya (-290)
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