Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan
UFC Vegas 115
Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, April 4, 2026
Renato Moicano will face off against Chris Duncan at UFC Vegas 115 on Saturday, April 4, 2026. The moneyline has Moicano coming in at +130 while Duncan is priced at -150.
Renato Moicano comes into this bout with a mark of 20-7-1. The 36-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Chris "The Problem" Duncan measures in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 15-2-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 71". Concerning significant strikes, Renato Moicano lands 4.17 per min and Chris Duncan is landing 5.02 significant strikes per minute. Moicano is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he tries while Duncan is connecting on 46%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Moicano allows 3.57 significant strikes per minute and "The Problem" absorbs 4.82. Moicano also deflects 59% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Duncan is able to curb 51% of them.
| UFC Vegas 115 | Renato Moicano | Chris Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +130 | -150 |
| Record | 20-7-1 | 15-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:28 | 7:38 |
| Height | 5'11" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.17 | 5.02 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 46% |
In the category of takedowns, Renato Moicano is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.67 times per 3 rds. Moicano is scoring a takedown on 41% of his tries and defending 62% of the attempts against him. Duncan is scoring a takedown on 42% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submissions, Moicano is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.5 subs per 3 rds while Duncan tries 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.
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The last time he fought, Renato Moicano faced Beneil Dariush and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Dariush ended up landing 77 of 131 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Moicano ended the night having landed 38 of 69 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Dariush landed 56 of 107, giving him a percentage of 52%. He ended up landing 30 of 73 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Moicano ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 31 of 61. Of those significant strikes, he was 25 of 52 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Dariush and 80% of them landed by Moicano were done at distance.
In the last fight for Chris Duncan, he went up against Terrance McKinney and wound up getting the win by way of an anaconda choke in round 1. McKinney landed 77% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Duncan ended up landing 26% of his significant strikes at distance. Duncan landed 69% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 38 of 55. He landed 36 of 51 significant strikes aimed at the head. McKinney ended up landing 31 of 57 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 26 of 50 to the head. In relation to the strikes he fired off in this contest, McKinney ended up landing 31 of 57 and Duncan was 53 of 75 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Azamat Bekoev opposes Tresean Gore. Bekoev will be looking to add a win to his career record of 20-4-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Gore measures 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 6-4-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 75". When it comes to grappling, Azamat Bekoev is able to score a takedown 4.49 times per 3 rds and Tresean Gore scores a takedown 1.83 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Bekoev is connecting on 4.07 strikes per min and landing 45% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Tresean Gore, who tags the opposition on 42% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 2.76 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Brendson Ribeiro is set to enter the Octagon with Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev. Rakhman Yakhyaev holds a career record of 8-0-0. The 25-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Ribeiro comes in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 17-9-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old extends his reach 81". Regarding wrestling, Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is able to deflect 100% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 100% of the times he tries. Ribeiro is taking his opponents down on 42% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 18% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Rakhman Yakhyaev takes 0.95 strikes/minute and he connects on 20.95 per min. Ribeiro, on the other side, takes 4.00 strikes/minute and connects on 3.06 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Renato Moicano (+130)
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