Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek Pick, 09/26/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 121 Odds
Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek
UFC Vegas 121
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, September 26, 2026
Rodolfo Vieira will take on Robert Bryczek at UFC Vegas 121 on Saturday, September 26, 2026. The opener has Vieira priced at -145 while Bryczek is at +124.
Rodolfo Vieira steps into the cage with a mark of 11-5-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Robert Bryczek stands in at 6'0" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 18-7-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 75". In the category of significant strikes, Rodolfo Vieira is landing 3.43 per minute while Robert Bryczek is connecting on 2.80 significant strikes per min. Vieira connects on 54% of the significant strikes he tries while Bryczek connects on 37%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Vieira absorbs 4.28 significant strikes per min while Bryczek takes 4.51. Vieira also deflects 49% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Bryczek is able to stop 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 121 | Rodolfo Vieira | Robert Bryczek |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -145 | +124 |
| Record | 11-5-0 | 18-7-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:26 | 13:54 |
| Height | 6'0" | 6'0" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 75" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.43 | 2.80 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 37% |
In the grappling category, Rodolfo Vieira is the better wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 2.87 times per 3 rds. Vieira is getting his opponent to the mat on 22% of his attempts and stopping 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Bryczek is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submission attempts, Vieira is the more capable fighter by trying 0.9 subs per 3 rds while Bryczek looks to get 0.4 subs per 3 rounds.
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In his last fight, Rodolfo Vieira fought Eric McConico and ended up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. McConico landed 73 of 123 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Vieira finished this fight landing 58 of 93 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, McConico landed 54 of 102, which gave him a rate of 52%. He landed 42 of 87 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Vieira landed 57% of his significant strikes by sticking 40 of 70. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 15 of 43 aimed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by McConico and 87% of them connected on by Vieira were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Robert Bryczek, he fought Cam Rowston and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Rowston connected on 40% of his significant strikes at distance while Bryczek ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Bryczek landed 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 17 of 37. He landed 5 of 22 significant strikes to the head. Rowston landed 79 of 150 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 69 of 137 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Rowston connected on 125 of 217 and Bryczek ended up landing 39 of 65 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Brady Hiestand enters the Octagon against Rinya Nakamura. Hiestand holds a career record of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Nakamura stands 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-1-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 68". Regarding grappling, Brady Hiestand takes his opponents to the canvas 4.80 times per 15 minutes and Rinya Nakamura takes his opponents to the mat 2.58 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Hiestand connects on 2.70 strikes/min and is landing 50% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Rinya Nakamura, who tags the opposition on 52% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 3.27 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Christian Edwards is set to battle Rodolfo Bellato. Bellato comes into this bout holding a record of 13-3-1 (1 NC). The 30-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Edwards stands 6'5" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 8-5-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 78". In terms of grappling, Rodolfo Bellato defends against 94% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 35% of his attempts. Edwards is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Bellato takes 5.86 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 5.37 strikes per min. Edwards, notwithstanding, absorbs 2.40 strikes/minute and is landing 2.40 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Robert Bryczek (+124)
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