Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio

UFC Vegas 117

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Roman Kopylov will face off with Marco Tulio at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. The opening odds have Kopylov priced at +165 while Tulio is at -190.

Roman Kopylov holds a career record of 14-5-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Marco "Matuto" Tulio comes in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old reaches 74". Regarding significant strikes, Roman Kopylov connects on 4.59 per min while Marco Tulio lands 6.69 significant strikes per minute. Kopylov lands 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Tulio is landing 58%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Kopylov allows 5.18 significant strikes per minute while "Matuto" takes 2.58. Kopylov also thwarts 52% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Tulio defends against 59% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding takedowns, Roman Kopylov is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.14 times per 3 rounds. Kopylov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 47% of the times he tries and stuffing 88% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Tulio is finishing his takedown tries on 26% of his takedown attempts and defending 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Kopylov is the more apt fighter by trying 0.8 subs per 3 rounds while Tulio tries 0.3 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Roman Kopylov squared up with Gregory Rodrigues and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Rodrigues ended up landing 91 of 174 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Kopylov walked away from this fight having landed 54 of 109 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Rodrigues landed 90 of 173, giving him a percentage of 52%. He landed 59 of 133 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Kopylov landed 49% of his significant strikes by landing 52 of 105. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 35 of 80 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Rodrigues and 98% of them connected on by Kopylov were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Marco Tulio, he squared up with Christian Leroy Duncan and took a loss on the night by a punch to the head in round 2. Duncan landed 86% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Tulio connected on 81% of his significant strikes at distance. Tulio ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 27 of 57. He connected on 13 of 36 significant strikes aimed at the head. Duncan landed 23 of 46 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 11 of 27 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Duncan connected on 40 of 66 and Tulio was 42 of 75 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Pat Sabatini enters the Octagon with William Gomis. Sabatini has a career record of 21-5-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Gomis measures in at 6'0" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 15-3-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In the grappling category, Pat Sabatini gets his opposition to the mat 4.48 times per 3 rounds and William Gomis is averaging a takedown 0.86 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Sabatini lands 1.69 strikes/min and is connecting on 59% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got William Gomis, who tags his opponent on 49% of his attempted strikes and lands 3.48 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Djorden Santos is set to square up against Baisangur Susurkaev. Susurkaev holds a career mark of 11-0-0. The 25-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Santos stands 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 75". When it comes to takedowns, Baisangur Susurkaev deflects 75% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 28% of the times he tries. Santos is taking his opponents down on 33% of his attempts and is able to curb 86% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Susurkaev is absorbing 3.78 strikes per minute while he connects on 4.56 per min. Santos, in contrast, absorbs 5.98 strikes/minute and lands 7.00 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Marco Tulio (-190)

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