Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/14/2026

Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari

UFC Vegas 117

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Shauna Bannon will enter the Octagon against Nicolle Caliari at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. The opening line has Bannon coming in at +200 while Caliari is priced at -235.

Shauna "Mama B" Bannon walks into the Octagon with a mark of 7-2-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The switch fighter reaches 65". Nicolle Caliari comes in at 5'3" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-4-0. The 29-year-old extends her reach 62". With respect to significant strikes, Shauna Bannon connects on 4.32 per min while Nicolle Caliari is landing 3.46 significant strikes per minute. Bannon connects on 43% of the significant strikes she attempts and Caliari is connecting on 38%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Mama B" takes 3.75 significant strikes per minute and Caliari absorbs 7.01. Bannon also defends against 45% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Caliari stops 53% of the shots thrown in her direction.

ufc picks Shauna Bannon predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 117	Shauna Bannon	Nicolle Caliari
Opening Odds	+200	-235
Record	7-2-0	8-4-0
Average Fight Time	11:20	10:25
Height	5'5"	5'3"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	65"	62"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.32	3.46
Striking Accuracy	43%	38%

In terms of wrestling, Shauna Bannon is the lesser skilled grappler as she is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes. Bannon is finishing her takedown attempts on 15% of the times she tries and is stopping 40% of the takedowns her opponents try. Caliari is scoring a takedown on 24% of the takedowns she attempts and thwarting 15% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Bannon is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds while Caliari attempts 1.0 sub per 15 minutes.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Shauna Bannon fought Sam Hughes and wound up taking the loss by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Hughes landed 55 of 84 total strikes that she let go. Bannon walked away from this fight having landed 42 of 68 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Hughes landed 21 of 46, which means her percentage was 45%. She ended up landing 19 of 43 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Bannon ended up landing 34% of her significant strikes by connecting on 13 of 38. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she landed 5 of 20 pointed at the head. 19% of the significant strikes connected on by Hughes and 92% of them landed by Bannon were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Nicolle Caliari, she went up against Carli Judice and ended up losing the fight by way of a knee to the body in round 3. Judice ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Caliari ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Caliari ended up connecting on 31% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 32 of 101. She ended up connecting on 26 of 85 significant strikes to the head. Judice connected on 109 of 225 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 85 of 193 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that she let go, Judice ended up landing 117 of 235 while Caliari was 35 of 104 total strikes.

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Another fight to keep an eye on is when Arnold Allen opposes Melquizael Costa. Allen has a mark of 20-4-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Costa stands 5'10" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 26-7-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 71". In the wrestling category, Arnold Allen is able to score a takedown 0.86 times per 3 rds while Melquizael Costa takes his opponents to the mat 2.00 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Allen tags his opponents 3.47 strikes per minute and connects on 42% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Melquizael Costa, who connects on 49% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 4.38 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Daniel Santos is set to encounter Dooho Choi. Choi comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-4-1. The 35-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Santos comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old reaches 67". In terms of wrestling, Dooho Choi is stopping 47% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the mat on 53% of his attempts. Santos is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his tries and is able to deflect 73% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Choi is taking 4.02 strikes per min while he is landing 4.67 strikes per minute. Santos, notwithstanding, is taking 5.03 strikes/min and is landing 4.76 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Shauna Bannon (+200)

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Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

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