Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat Pick, 08/08/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 120 Odds
Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat
UFC Vegas 120
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 8, 2026
Steven Asplund will enter the Octagon with Guilherme Pat at UFC Vegas 120 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. The opening odds have Asplund priced at -270 while Pat is coming in at +222.
Steven "Concrete" Asplund has a record of 7-2-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 260 lbs and comes in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Guilherme "Kong" Pat measures 6'6" and will fight at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 6-1-0. The 32-year-old stretches 81". Concerning significant strikes, Steven Asplund is connecting on 10.05 per minute while Guilherme Pat is landing 2.70 significant strikes per min. Asplund connects on 51% of the significant strikes he attempts and Pat connects on 61%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Concrete" allows 6.64 significant strikes per minute and "Kong" allows 2.03. Asplund also defends 50% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Pat thwarts 51% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 120 | Steven Asplund | Guilherme Pat |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -270 | +222 |
| Record | 7-2-0 | 6-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:02 | 15:00 |
| Height | 6'5" | 6'6" |
| Weight | 260 lbs | 265 lbs |
| Reach | 78" | 81" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 10.05 | 2.70 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 61% |
Regarding wrestling, Steven Asplund is the more capable grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.80 times per 15 minutes. Asplund is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts and defending 85% of all takedown attempts. Pat is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the submission, Asplund is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.9 finishes per 3 rounds while Pat tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his previous fight, Steven Asplund fought Vitor Petrino and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Petrino landed 92 of 162 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Asplund ended the night having landed 73 of 172 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Petrino ended up landing 92 of 161, giving him a percentage of 57%. He finished the fight landing 59 of 126 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Asplund ended up landing 38% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 61 of 158. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 48 of 140 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Petrino and 95% of them landed by Asplund were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Guilherme Pat, he battled Thomas Petersen and was on the losing end of this fight by way of majority decision in round 3. Petersen ended up connecting on 35% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Pat connected on 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Pat ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 17 of 31. He landed 9 of 22 significant strikes directed at the head. Petersen landed 28 of 41 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 22 of 33 to the head. In regard to total strikes thrown in that contest, Petersen landed 164 of 199 and Pat ended up connecting on 25 of 42 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Amanda Lemos faces off with Alexia Thainara. Lemos will be looking to add a win to her record of 15-6-1. The 39-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Thainara stands 5'4" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 14-1-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding grappling, Amanda Lemos is able to score a takedown 1.02 times per 3 rounds while Alexia Thainara takes her opponents to the canvas 4.54 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Lemos lands an average of 2.75 strikes/minute and lands 55% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Alexia Thainara, who lands 43% of the strikes she has thrown and lands an average of 4.62 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Ravena Oliveira is set to take on Juliana Miller. Miller steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 5-4-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Oliveira measures in at 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 7-4-1. The 29-year-old reaches 65". Regarding takedowns, Juliana Miller deflects 44% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 29% of her tries. Oliveira is taking her opponents to the mat on 50% of the tries she takes and is able to curb 46% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Miller takes 4.14 strikes per minute and she is dealing 2.65 per minute. Oliveira, moreover, is absorbing 3.72 strikes/min and is connecting on 1.91 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Guilherme Pat (+222)
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