Tai Tuivasa vs Louie Sutherland Pick, 05/02/2026 Predictions UFC Perth Odds
Tai Tuivasa vs Louie Sutherland
UFC Perth
RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia
Saturday, May 2, 2026
Tai Tuivasa will enter the Octagon against Louie Sutherland at UFC Perth on Saturday, May 2, 2026. The opener has Tuivasa coming in at -220 while Sutherland is at +185.
Tai "Bam Bam" Tuivasa walks into the cage holding a mark of 15-9-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 264 lbs and measures 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Louie "Vanilla Gorilla" Sutherland measures in at 6'3" and will fight at 264 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-5-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 76". Regarding significant strikes, Tai Tuivasa is landing 3.66 per min while Louie Sutherland lands 3.75 significant strikes per minute. Tuivasa is landing 48% of the significant strikes he tries while Sutherland is connecting on 52%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Bam Bam" absorbs 4.97 significant strikes per min while "Vanilla Gorilla" takes 7.50. Tuivasa also defends 43% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Sutherland is able to deflect 22% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC Perth | Tai Tuivasa | Louie Sutherland |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -220 | +185 |
| Record | 15-9-0 | 10-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:41 | 1:36 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 264 lbs | 264 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 76" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.66 | 3.75 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 52% |
Concerning wrestling, Tai Tuivasa is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.90 times per 15 min. Tuivasa is scoring a takedown on 15% of his attempts and stopping 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Sutherland is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to subbing opponents, Tuivasa is the more skilled technician by going for 0.7 subs per 3 rds while Sutherland attempts 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Tai Tuivasa faced Tallison Teixeira and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Teixeira landed 117 of 144 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Tuivasa finished this fight landing 56 of 74 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Teixeira ended up landing 51 of 74, which gave him a percentage of 68%. He ended up landing 39 of 60 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Tuivasa landed 72% of his significant strikes by sticking 42 of 58. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 21 of 36 pointed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes landed by Teixeira and 64% of them landed by Tuivasa were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Louie Sutherland, he went up against Brando Pericic and wound up losing the fight by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Pericic connected on 26% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Sutherland ended up connecting on 77% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Sutherland ended up connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 9 of 18. He ended up landing 5 of 14 significant strikes directed at the head. Pericic ended up landing 19 of 26 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 13 of 20 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Pericic landed 34 of 46 and Sutherland connected on 9 of 18 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Cam Rowston squares up in the Octagon against Robert Bryczek. Rowston comes into this fight with a mark of 14-3-0. The 31-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Bryczek stands in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 18-6-0. The 35-year-old reaches 75". In terms of takedowns, Cam Rowston gets his opposition to the mat 0.50 times per 15 min and Robert Bryczek is averaging a takedown 0.56 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Rowston connects for an average of 4.26 strikes per minute and connects on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Robert Bryczek, who tags his opponent on 36% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 3.74 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Kevin Christian is set to clash with Junior Tafa. Tafa looks to add a victory to his career total of 6-5-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Christian comes in at 6'7" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 80". Concerning wrestling, Junior Tafa is preventing 70% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries. Christian is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts and stops 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Tafa is absorbing 2.55 strikes/minute while he lands 3.41 strikes/minute. Christian, on the other side, takes 2.65 strikes/minute and is dealing 1.64 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tai Tuivasa (-220)
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