Tim Elliott vs Steve Erceg Pick, 05/02/2026 Predictions UFC Perth Odds

Tim Elliott vs Steve Erceg

UFC Perth

RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Tim Elliott will enter the Octagon against Steve Erceg at UFC Perth on Saturday, May 2, 2026. The opening odds have Elliott coming in at +160 while Erceg is coming in at -185.

Tim Elliott comes into this fight with a record of 22-13-1. The 39-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 66". Steve "Astroboy" Erceg measures 5'8" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 13-4-0. The 30-year-old stretches 68". When talking about significant strikes, Tim Elliott connects on 3.37 per minute while Steve Erceg connects on 4.00 significant strikes per minute. Elliott is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Erceg lands 45%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Elliott allows 2.65 significant strikes per min and "Astroboy" takes 3.79. Elliott also deflects 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Erceg deflects 52% of the shots thrown.

Regarding takedowns, Tim Elliott is the more capable grappler as he scores a takedown 3.71 times per 3 rounds. Elliott is finishing his takedown attempts on 47% of the times he tries and is stuffing 59% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Erceg is scoring a takedown on 27% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 62% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to sub attempts, Elliott is the more apt fighter by attempting 1.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Erceg attempts 0.4 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Tim Elliott faced Kai Asakura and ended up getting the victory in the fight by guillotine choke in round 2. Asakura ended up landing 38 of 104 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Elliott walked away from this fight having landed 42 of 88 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Asakura landed 21 of 87, which means his percentage was 24%. He landed 17 of 79 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Elliott ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes by connecting on 27 of 71. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 18 of 43 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Asakura and 96% of them connected on by Elliott were done at distance.

In the last bout for Steve Erceg, he fought Ode Osbourne and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Osbourne connected on 82% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Erceg landed 60% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Erceg connected on 37% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 20 of 53. He connected on 10 of 42 significant strikes directed at the head. Osbourne landed 35 of 74 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 20 of 53 directed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Osbourne connected on 47 of 89 while Erceg connected on 39 of 82 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Shamil Gaziev squares up in the Octagon against Brando Pericic. Gaziev will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 14-2-0. The 36-year-old weighs 265 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Pericic stands in at 6'5" and will fight at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 6-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 79". When it comes to grappling, Shamil Gaziev takes his opponents to the mat 0.93 times per 3 rounds and Brando Pericic is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Gaziev connects for an average of 2.62 strikes per minute and lands 47% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Brando Pericic, who is landing 64% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 12.91 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Louie Sutherland is set to square up with Tai Tuivasa. Tuivasa walks into the cage holding a mark of 15-9-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 264 lbs and measures 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Sutherland measures in at 6'3" and will fight at 264 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-5-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 76". When it comes to takedowns, Tai Tuivasa stops 60% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries. Sutherland is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of his tries and is able to curb 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Tuivasa absorbs 4.97 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 3.66 per minute. Sutherland, moreover, absorbs 7.50 strikes per min and lands 3.75 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tim Elliott (+160)

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