Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff Pick, 08/08/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 120 Odds
Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff
UFC Vegas 120
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 8, 2026
Ty Miller will face off against Billy Ray Goff at UFC Vegas 120 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. The opening moneyline has Miller priced at -350 while Goff is at +280.
Ty "Thriller" Miller steps into the Octagon with a mark of 7-0-0 (1 NC). The 26-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Billy Goff Ray stands in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career record of 9-4-0. The 28-year-old reaches 72". When talking about significant strikes, Ty Miller is landing 7.16 per minute and Billy Ray Goff connects on 7.51 significant strikes per minute. Miller is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he tries while Ray Goff is connecting on 46%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Thriller" absorbs 4.65 significant strikes per minute while Goff allows 5.02. Miller also defends against 64% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Ray Goff is able to stop 59% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 120 | Ty Miller | Billy Ray Goff |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -350 | +280 |
| Record | 7-0-0 (1 NC) | 9-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:00 | 6:26 |
| Height | 6'2" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 77" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.16 | 7.51 |
| Striking Accuracy | 38% | 46% |
In the wrestling category, Ty Miller is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 15 minutes. Miller is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries and defending 75% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Ray Goff is scoring a takedown on 16% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 66% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Miller is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 finishes per 15 min while Ray Goff looks to get 0.4 finishes per 3 rds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Ty Miller faced Adam Fugitt and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Fugitt landed 39 of 76 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Miller finished this fight landing 65 of 129 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Fugitt landed 36 of 73, giving him a percentage of 49%. He ended up landing 10 of 42 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Miller landed 48% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 59 of 121. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 55 of 115 pointed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Fugitt and 93% of them landed by Miller were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Billy Ray Goff, he squared up with Ramiz Brahimaj and ended up walking away in defeat by way of a guillotine choke in round 1. Brahimaj landed 0% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Goff connected on 0% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Goff ended up connecting on 33% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 1 of 3. He ended up connecting on 0 of 1 significant strikes to the head. Brahimaj ended up connecting on 1 of 1 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 0 of 0 to the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Brahimaj was 9 of 10 and Goff connected on 2 of 4 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Diyar Nurgozhay fights Bruno Lopes. Nurgozhay has a record of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 74". Lopes measures in at 6'2" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-3-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 74". In the grappling category, Diyar Nurgozhay is averaging a takedown 1.37 times per 15 min while Bruno Lopes gets a takedown 1.93 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Nurgozhay lands an average of 4.52 strikes/min and is connecting on 59% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Bruno Lopes, who connects on 43% of his attempted strikes and connects on 2.88 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Guilherme Pat is set to encounter Steven Asplund. Asplund has a record of 7-2-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 260 lbs and comes in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Pat measures 6'6" and will fight at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 6-1-0. The 32-year-old stretches 81". Concerning grappling, Steven Asplund is able to deflect 85% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the times he tries. Pat is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and stops 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Asplund is taking 6.64 strikes per min while he is dishing out 10.05 per minute. Pat, in contrast, is absorbing 2.03 strikes per min and is dishing out 2.70 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Billy Ray Goff (+280)
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