Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong Pick, 08/29/2026 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 8/23/2026

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong

UFC Shanghai

Shanghai Indoor Stadium in Shanghai

Saturday, August 29, 2026

Umar Nurmagomedov will face off against Song Yadong at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 29, 2026. The opening odds have Nurmagomedov at -500 while Yadong is at +385.

Umar Nurmagomedov Nurmagomedov will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 20-1-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Song "Kung Fu Kid" Yadong measures in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 23-9-1 (1 NC). The 28-year-old stretches 67". In terms of significant strikes, Umar Nurmagomedov is landing 3.86 per minute and Song Yadong connects on 4.34 significant strikes per min. Nurmagomedov connects on 56% of the significant strikes he tries and Yadong lands 43%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Nurmagomedov takes 1.86 significant strikes per minute and "Kung Fu Kid" allows 3.81. Nurmagomedov also curbs 61% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Yadong prevents 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Umar Nurmagomedov predictions best bet odds

UFC Shanghai	Umar Nurmagomedov	Song Yadong
Opening Odds	-500	+385
Record	20-1-0	23-9-1 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	14:04	13:00
Height	5'8"	5'8"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	69"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.86	4.34
Striking Accuracy	56%	43%

Regarding takedowns, Umar Nurmagomedov is the better wrestler as he scores a takedown 4.03 times per 15 min. Nurmagomedov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 46% of his attempts and stopping 79% of the takedowns his opponents try. Yadong is taking his opponents to the mat on 41% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 73% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to going for the submission, Nurmagomedov is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Yadong goes for 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Umar Nurmagomedov fought Deiveson Figueiredo and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Figueiredo ended up landing 28 of 58 total strikes attempted in that fight. Nurmagomedov ended the night having landed 103 of 167 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Figueiredo ended up landing 8 of 27, giving him a percentage of 29%. He landed 4 of 18 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Nurmagomedov ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 34 of 72. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 19 of 50 aimed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes connected on by Figueiredo and 82% of them landed by Nurmagomedov were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Song Yadong, he fought Deiveson Figueiredo and took home the victory by way of guillotine choke in round 2. Figueiredo ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Yadong landed 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Yadong landed 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 24 of 52. He ended up connecting on 6 of 29 significant strikes aimed at the head. Figueiredo connected on 9 of 17 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 8 to the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Figueiredo was 17 of 26 while Yadong ended up connecting on 30 of 58 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Qileng Aori takes on Kai Asakura. Aori will be looking to add a win to his career record of 26-13-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Asakura measures 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 22-6-0. The 32-year-old stretches 69". When it comes to grappling, Qileng Aori takes his opponents to the mat 1.11 times per 3 rounds and Kai Asakura is averaging a takedown 0.80 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Aori is connecting on 4.40 strikes per min and is connecting on 49% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Kai Asakura, who is connecting on 34% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.53 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Andre Lima is set to square up in the Octagon with Namsrai Batbayar. Batbayar will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-1-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Lima comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 11-1-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 67". In terms of grappling, Namsrai Batbayar is able to deflect 85% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 30% of the times he tries. Lima is taking his opponents down on 60% of his attempts and is able to thwart 75% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Batbayar absorbs 3.42 strikes/minute and he is dealing 4.44 strikes/minute. Lima, on the other hand, absorbs 2.66 strikes/min and is dealing 3.94 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Umar Nurmagomedov (-500)

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Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong Pick, 08/29/2026 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds

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