Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes Pick, 09/12/2026 Predictions Noche UFC 4 Odds
Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes
Noche UFC 4
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 12, 2026
Waldo Cortes Acosta will battle Curtis Blaydes at Noche UFC 4 on Saturday, September 12, 2026. The opening line has Acosta at -210 while Blaydes is priced at +180.
Waldo "Salsa Boy" Cortes Acosta will be looking to add a victory to his record of 17-3-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 260 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Curtis "Razor" Blaydes stands 6'4" and weighs 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 19-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old stretches 80". Concerning significant strikes, Waldo Cortes Acosta connects on 5.34 per minute and Curtis Blaydes is connecting on 4.18 significant strikes per min. Cortes Acosta is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Blaydes connects on 52%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Salsa Boy" allows 3.63 significant strikes per minute and "Razor" takes 2.76. Cortes Acosta also defends 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Blaydes is able to stop 53% of the shots thrown.
| Noche UFC 4 | Waldo Cortes Acosta | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -210 | +180 |
| Record | 17-3-0 | 19-6-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 10:43 | 9:13 |
| Height | 6'4" | 6'4" |
| Weight | 260 lbs | 265 lbs |
| Reach | 78" | 80" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.34 | 4.18 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 52% |
In the category of takedowns, Waldo Cortes Acosta is not as effective of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Cortes Acosta is scoring a takedown on 50% of his attempts and is stopping 73% of all takedown tries against him. Blaydes is finishing his takedown tries on 47% of his takedown tries and is stopping 35% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submission attempts, Cortes Acosta is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.1 subs per 3 rounds while Blaydes looks to get 0.7 subs per 3 rds.
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In his previous fight, Waldo Cortes Acosta went up against Alexander Volkov and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Volkov ended up landing 88 of 143 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Acosta walked away from this fight having landed 54 of 130 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Volkov landed 88 of 143, which means his percentage was 61%. He landed 22 of 70 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Acosta ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by sticking 54 of 130. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 30 of 91 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Volkov and 98% of them connected on by Acosta were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Curtis Blaydes, he squared up with Josh Hokit and wound up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Hokit ended up landing 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Blaydes landed 64% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Blaydes ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 174 of 302. He ended up connecting on 151 of 276 significant strikes to the head. Hokit ended up landing 177 of 293 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 164 of 278 directed at the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Hokit landed 181 of 298 and Blaydes was 214 of 345 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when David Martinez faces off with Dan Ige. Martinez walks into the cage holding a record of 14-1-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Ige stands in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 19-11-0. The 35-year-old extends his reach 71". When it comes to grappling, David Martinez takes his opponents down 0.60 times per 3 rounds and Dan Ige takes his opponents down 0.93 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Martinez lands 4.82 strikes per minute and landing 46% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Dan Ige, who tags the opposition on 45% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 3.60 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Edgar Chairez is set to go up against Tim Elliott. Elliott looks to add a win to his record of 22-14-1. The 39-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 66". Chairez measures in at 5'7" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 14-6-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old has an arm span of 71". Concerning grappling, Tim Elliott is stopping 59% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of the times he tries. Chairez is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and curbs 47% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Elliott is absorbing 3.00 strikes per min and he is landing 3.51 per min. Chairez, notwithstanding, is absorbing 4.71 strikes per minute and connects on 3.76 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Curtis Blaydes (+180)
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