Yan Xiaonan vs Denise Gomes Pick, 08/29/2026 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
Yan Xiaonan vs Denise Gomes
UFC Shanghai
Shanghai Indoor Stadium in Shanghai
Saturday, August 29, 2026
Yan Xiaonan will take on Denise Gomes at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 29, 2026. The opening line has Xiaonan coming in at -142 while Gomes is at +122.
Yan Xiaonan has a mark of 19-5-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Denise "Dee" Gomes stands in at 5'2" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 12-3-0. The 26-year-old reaches 63". Concerning significant strikes, Yan Xiaonan is landing 4.69 per min and Denise Gomes connects on 4.43 significant strikes per min. Xiaonan is landing 45% of the significant strikes she attempts while Gomes is connecting on 49%. Regarding defense, Xiaonan takes 3.23 significant strikes per minute and "Dee" allows 3.16. Xiaonan also thwarts 60% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Gomes curbs 51% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Shanghai | Yan Xiaonan | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -142 | +122 |
| Record | 19-5-0 (1 NC) | 12-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:01 | 11:30 |
| Height | 5'5" | 5'2" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 63" | 63" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.69 | 4.43 |
| Striking Accuracy | 45% | 49% |
Regarding wrestling, Yan Xiaonan is the not as competent as a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.84 times per 3 rds. Xiaonan is finishing her takedown attempts on 73% of the times she tries and thwarting 64% of all takedown attempts. Gomes is taking her opponents to the canvas on 34% of her takedown tries and is defending 66% of all takedowns attempted on her. In terms of subbing opponents, Xiaonan is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes while Gomes tries 0.7 submissions per 3 rds.
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The last time she fought, Yan Xiaonan went up against Virna Jandiroba and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Jandiroba landed 96 of 131 total strikes attempted in that contest. Xiaonan walked away from this fight having landed 64 of 103 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Jandiroba landed 11 of 20, which means her percentage was 55%. She landed 11 of 20 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Xiaonan landed 38% of her significant strikes by landing 17 of 44. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she was 13 of 34 to the head. 72% of the significant strikes connected on by Jandiroba and 70% of them connected on by Xiaonan were done at distance.
In the last fight for Denise Gomes, she battled Tecia Pennington and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Pennington connected on 100% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Gomes landed 90% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Gomes ended up landing 38% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 53 of 138. She ended up connecting on 19 of 86 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pennington ended up connecting on 58 of 125 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she landed 15 of 56 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Pennington ended up landing 73 of 144 and Gomes was 75 of 169 of all the strikes she threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Xiong Jingnan squares up with Julia Polastri. Jingnan steps into the Octagon holding a record of 19-3-0. The 38-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The switch fighter reaches 63". Polastri measures in at 5'2" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 14-6-0. The 28-year-old stretches 63". Regarding grappling, Xiong Jingnan takes her opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 15 min and Julia Polastri takes her opponents to the canvas 0.62 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Jingnan lands an average of 4.53 strikes/min and lands 34% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Julia Polastri, who is landing 56% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 6.22 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Song Yadong is set to fight Umar Nurmagomedov. Nurmagomedov will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 20-1-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Yadong measures in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 23-9-1 (1 NC). The 28-year-old stretches 67". Concerning grappling, Umar Nurmagomedov is preventing 79% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 46% of his attempts. Yadong is taking his opponents to the mat on 41% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 73% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Nurmagomedov takes 1.86 strikes per minute and he is landing 3.86 strikes per minute. Yadong, notwithstanding, absorbs 3.81 strikes/min and is connecting on 4.34 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Yan Xiaonan (-142)
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