Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos Pick, 09/12/2026 Predictions Noche UFC 4 Odds
Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos
Noche UFC 4
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 12, 2026
Yousri Belgaroui will take on Djorden Santos at Noche UFC 4 on Saturday, September 12, 2026. The opening moneyline has Belgaroui coming in at -800 while Santos is coming in at +561.
Yousri Belgaroui comes into this fight with a mark of 10-3-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Djorden "Shakur" Santos measures in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 11-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 75". With respect to significant strikes, Yousri Belgaroui is landing 6.10 per min while Djorden Santos connects on 6.64 significant strikes per minute. Belgaroui connects on 64% of the significant strikes he throws while Santos connects on 42%. Regarding defense, Belgaroui allows 2.17 significant strikes per minute and "Shakur" takes 6.35. Belgaroui also prevents 63% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Santos is able to curb 48% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| Noche UFC 4 | Yousri Belgaroui | Djorden Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -800 | +561 |
| Record | 10-3-0 | 11-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:02 | 14:48 |
| Height | 6'6" | 6'0" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 79" | 75" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.10 | 6.64 |
| Striking Accuracy | 64% | 42% |
Regarding grappling, Yousri Belgaroui is not as efficient of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.29 times per 3 rds. Belgaroui is taking his opponents to the canvas on 80% of his tries and stopping 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Santos is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Belgaroui is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes while Santos goes for 0.7 finishes per 15 min.
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In his last bout, Yousri Belgaroui went up against Mansur Abdul-Malik and wound up taking home the victory via a knee to the head in round 3. Abdul-Malik landed 16 of 61 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Belgaroui walked away from this fight having landed 107 of 170 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Abdul-Malik landed 16 of 60, giving him a percentage of 26%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 45 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Belgaroui landed 60% of his significant strikes by landing 94 of 156. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 54 of 103 aimed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Abdul-Malik and 79% of them landed by Belgaroui were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Djorden Santos, he battled Baisangur Susurkaev and ended up losing the fight via rear naked choke in round 3. Susurkaev landed 91% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Santos ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Santos ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 78 of 211. He landed 69 of 198 significant strikes aimed at the head. Susurkaev ended up landing 107 of 213 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 56 of 143 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Susurkaev landed 136 of 242 while Santos ended up landing 89 of 222 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Drakkar Klose meets Tommy Gantt. Klose comes into this fight with a record of 16-3-1. The 38-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Gantt measures 5'11" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 12-0-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has an arm span of 76". Regarding grappling, Drakkar Klose gets his opposition to the mat 1.49 times per 3 rds and Tommy Gantt takes his opponents down 11.29 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Klose lands an average of 4.25 strikes/min and is landing 55% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Tommy Gantt, who is landing 75% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 2.92 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Zhu Rong is set to take on Rafa Garcia. Garcia walks into the cage with a record of 19-4-0. The 32-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Rong measures 5'9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 28-6-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 70". In terms of wrestling, Rafa Garcia is able to deflect 77% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of the times he tries. Rong is finishing his takedown tries on 62% of the attempts he tries and prevents 84% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Garcia is absorbing 4.42 strikes per min while he deals 4.28 strikes/min. Rong, moreover, is taking 5.38 strikes per min and lands 6.05 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Djorden Santos (+561)
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