Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Expert WNBA Picks Against the Spread 7/10/2019
Wednesday, July 10, 2019
Capital One Arena
Get todays WNBA odds and lines on this game.
Capital One Arena is the venue where Natasha Cloud and the Washington Mystics (9-4, 1st in the Eastern Conference) will take on the Phoenix Mercury (6-6, 5th in the Western Conference) on Wednesday.
The Mercury have been a dicey pick for basketball wagerers, having gone 5-6 ATS. Washington is covering 61.5% of the time, going 8-5 against the spread.
Valuable Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends
The Mercury have been a terrible Over pick for over/under basketball wagerers, having gone 4-8.
Phoenix is covering 40.0% of the time away from home, having gone 2-3 ATS.
Important Washington Mystics Betting Trends
Washington is covering 50.0% of the time at Capital One Arena, going 4-4 against the spread.
The Mystics have been a decent Under pick for over/under basketball wagerers, having gone 6-7.
Key Phoenix Mercury Injuries
07/07/19 G Diana Taurasi Back is questionable Wednesday vs Wash Mystics
Key Washington Mystics Injuries
07/07/19 F Elena Delle Donne Nose will not return
06/09/19 C Emma Meesseman Personal is out indefinitely
06/09/19 G Kim Mestdagh Personal is out indefinitely
05/30/19 G Kiara Leslie Knee is out indefinitely
Brittney Griner comes into this contest averaging 19.6 points per game while playing 35.0 minutes per night so far this season for the Mercury. She pulls down 7.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.9 assists per game as well. Her field goal percentage is 52% while her free throw percentage is currently at 76%. DeWanna Bonner averages 18.5 points per game in 34.0 minutes per contest this season. She averages 2.8 assists per contest and 7.8 rebounds per game for Phoenix. Her field goal percentage is 38% for the year while her free throw percentage is 95%.
Natasha Cloud averages 9.6 points per game while playing 32.0 minutes per contest this year for the Mystics. She grabs 2.8 rebounds per game and has 5.6 assists per contest on the year. Her field goal percentage is 38% and her free throw percentage currently is at 79%. Kristi Toliver averages 12.3 points per game this season and she sees the court an average of 27.6 minutes per contest. She also averages 2.8 rebounds per contest and 5.5 assists per game. Her field goal percentage is 49% and her free throw percentage is 88%.
Useful Team Statistics
Phoenix averages 73.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 10th in the WNBA. Their average scoring margin is -0.8 and their shooting percentage is 41% as a team, which has them ranked 10th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 7th in the league. They average 32.7 rebounds per game and 16.3 assists per game, which ranks them 12th and 10th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 11th with 11.6 per game. The Mercury allow 74.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 2nd in the league. They also allow a 41% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 4th and 12th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 37.3 rebounds a game which ranks 10th and they give up 17.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 3rd place in the league. They force 12.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 3rd in the league.
Useful Team Statistics
Washington is 1st in the league with 86.4 points per game this year. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 11.3. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 5th in the WNBA. They are 10th in the league in rebounding with 33.5 boards per game, and 2nd in assists per contest with 21.1. The Mystics are 12th in turnovers per game with 11.0. The Mystics surrender 75.1 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the WNBA. Their defense is allowing a 42% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 7th in those defensive statistics. They rank 1st with 16.5 assists allowed per contest and 6th with 35.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mystics are 10th in the WNBA in forcing turnovers with 14.9 per game this season.
The Mercury are 7th in the WNBA in offensive rating with 98.4, and their defensive rating of 99.4 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 11th in the league with 74.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 46% is 7th. As a team they are 5th in the WNBA in true shooting percentage with 51% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Phoenix is 10th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 47%, which is 6th in the league.
Washington is 12th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 47%, which is 5th in the WNBA. The Mystics are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 97, and their offensive rating of 111.6 is ranked 9th. They are 7th in the WNBA in pace with 77.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 1st in the WNBA.
Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Washington
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