Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 9/10/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Wednesday, September 10, 2025

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: Youtube TV

Mohegan Sun Arena is the site where and the Connecticut Sun (11-31) will take on the Atlanta Dream (28-14) on Wednesday.

The Atlanta Dream faced off with the Los Angeles Sparks and notched a win by a score of 104-85 in their last contest. Atlanta walked away from the game having earned a 49.4% FG percentage (38 of 77) and converted 19 of their 39 3-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Dream knocked down 9 of 12 attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. In relation to hauling in boards, they earned 41 with 13 of them being offensive. They also doled out 28 dimes for the matchup while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When discussing the defense, Atlanta allowed the other team to go 46.0% from the floor on 29 out of 63 shooting. Los Angeles doled out 7 dimes and had 3 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Los Angeles snagged 27 rebounds (7 offensive, 20 defensive) and had 4 blocked shots. Los Angeles finished the game shooting 84.0% from the charity stripe by making 21 of 25 attempts. They also knocked down 6 of their 22 tries from distance.

Rhyne Howard is a player who played a role in this matchup. She finished with 37 points on 13 out of 26 shooting. She was on the court for 37 minutes played and grabbed 5 boards. Howard went 50.0% from the floor and also recorded 6 dimes.

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Atlanta enters this matchup with a mark of 28-14 this year. They are averaging 84.2 points per game (5th in the WNBA) while shooting 44.1% from the floor. The Dream are shooting 33.7% on shots from 3-point land (403 of 1,195) and 78.3% from the free throw line. As a team, Atlanta is grabbing 36.6 boards per contest and has accumulated 893 dimes this year, which is 4th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 11.2 times per game and as a unit are committing 15.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis. On the defensive end, the Dream are forcing their opponents into 11.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.3 personal fouls. They are giving up 32.4% on shots from downtown and they are 3rd in the WNBA in points per game allowed (77.2). The Dream are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.3% (483 of 726) and they concede 31.3 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are ranked 2nd in basketball in allowing assists with 800 conceded on the season.

When they last played, the Connecticut Sun got the win with a final of 87-84 against the Phoenix Mercury. The Sun were able to snag 33 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 14 times, while earning 5 steals in this game. The Mercury were called for 25 fouls in the matchup which took the Sun to the charity stripe for a total of 34 tries. They were able to knock down 26 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 76.5%. In reference to 3-point shots, Connecticut buried 5 out of 16 attempts (31.3%). Overall, the Sun shot 28 for 63 from the field which gave them a rate of 44.4%. The Sun permitted the Mercury to convert 29 of their 71 tries from the field which had them shooting 40.8% in the game. They finished 34.4% from downtown by shooting 11 of 32 and ended up going 15 of 21 at the free throw line (71.4%). When discussing team rebounding, Connecticut permitted Phoenix to pull down 33 in total (9 offensive).

Marina Mabrey was important for the Sun in this game. She converted 8 of 16 in this matchup giving her a rate of 50.0%, and had 5 rebounds. Mabrey accumulated 23 points in her 38 mins on the court and accounted for 4 assists in this matchup.

Connecticut has a win-loss record of 11-31 on the campaign. Connecticut has earned 3,203 points on the year (76.3 per contest) and they average 31.8 rebounds per game. The Sun commit 20.0 fouls per game and they connect on 79.5% from the charity stripe. As an offensive team, the Sun are hitting on 41.4% from the field, which ranks 12th in the league. Their rate of earning assists is at 17.5 times per contest (13th in the WNBA) and they are turning it over 13.2 times per game. The Sun are ranked 11th in the league in points allowed per game with 85.9. They have conceded 21.5 dimes and 35.3 boards per game, which is 11th and 11th in the WNBA. The Connecticut defense gives up 35.0% on shots from behind the 3-point line (352 of 1,007) and their opponents are converting on 78.7% of their foul shots. They are forcing 13.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.4% from the floor (13th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Connecticut

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