Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 6/29/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: WNBA League Pass

Target Center is the site where and the Minnesota Lynx (12-2) will play the Connecticut Sun (2-13) on Sunday.

The Connecticut Sun faced the Las Vegas Aces and ended up losing by a score of 85-59 in their last game. Connecticut ended the contest with a 32.4% FG percentage (23 out of 71) and knocked down 2 of their 13 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Sun knocked down 11 of 12 tries for a percentage of 91.7%. In relation to rebounding, they collected a total of 30 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 15 dimes for the contest as well as forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In reference to defending, Connecticut allowed 42.9% from the field on 30 out of 70 shooting. Las Vegas dished out 18 assists and had 6 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Las Vegas collected 45 rebounds (10 offensive, 35 defensive) and added 7 rejections. Las Vegas finished 87.5% at the charity stripe by knocking down 14 of 16 shots. They also knocked down 11 of 28 attempts from long range.

Tina Charles is one player who was a factor in this matchup. She walked away with 18 points on 7 of 17 shooting. She was on the court for 28 mins and grabbed 3 rebounds. Charles went 41.2% from the field and recorded 2 dimes.

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Connecticut comes into this game with a record of 2-13 for the campaign. The Sun are hitting 28.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (88 of 309) and 80.0% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 70.9 points per contest (13th in basketball) while hitting 39.1% from the field. They are turning it over 14.1 times per game and as a squad they are committing 21.5 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Connecticut is collecting 30.5 rebounds per contest and has totaled 251 assists for the year, which ranks 13th in the league in terms of passing the ball. When they are on defense, the Sun have forced 13.7 turnovers per game while drawing 18.8 fouls. They are relinquishing 36.9% on 3-point shots and they are 12th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (87.4). The Sun defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 45.4% (206 of 282) and they relinquish 38.3 rebounds per contest as a unit. They rank 10th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 308 relinquished for the campaign.

In their last game, the Minnesota Lynx took a defeat with a final score of 68-64 when they faced the Washington Mystics. The Lynx were able to pull down 30 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 39 for the contest. They also coughed up the ball 19 times, while getting 9 steals for the matchup. The Mystics were called for 18 fouls for the matchup which got the Lynx to the charity stripe for 25 tries. They were able to knock down 17 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 68.0%. With respect to shots from distance, Minnesota knocked down 3 out of 18 attempts (16.7%). When the final whistle was blown, the Lynx walked away from this one shooting 22 for 58 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 37.9%. The Lynx allowed the Mystics to knock down 27 of 73 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 37.0% in this matchup. They went 38.5% from distance by hitting 5 out of 13 and ended up going 9 out of 12 at the free throw line (75.0%). When it comes to rebounding, Minnesota allowed Washington to pull down 40 in total (14 offensive).

Alanna Smith was important for the Lynx for the game. She buried 9 out of 17 for this game for a field goal percentage of 52.9%, and added 5 rebounds. Smith had 26 points in her 30 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 2 dimes for this contest.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 12-2 for the year. The Lynx commit 17.4 fouls per game and they connect on 77.2% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 23.2 times per game (1st in the league) and they turn it over 13.4 times per game. Minnesota has earned 1,167 pts for the season (83.4 per contest) and they snag 34.1 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Lynx are hitting on 46.5% from the floor, which is 2nd in the WNBA. The Lynx are ranked 1st in the league in points allowed per contest with 73.6. They have conceded 17.6 dimes and 33.8 boards on a nightly basis, which is 2nd and 5th in the WNBA. The Minnesota defense concedes 30.1% on shots from beyond the arc (103 of 342) and opponents are converting on 77.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They are able to force 14.3 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 40.2% from the field (2nd in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Connecticut

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