Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 8/5/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Youtube TV

Footprint Center is the site where and the Phoenix Mercury (17-11) will play the Connecticut Sun (5-22) on Tuesday.

The Connecticut Sun played the New York Liberty and took a loss by a score of 87-78 in their last game. Connecticut finished the game having earned a 41.2% FG percentage (28 out of 68) and converted 5 of their 23 three-point shots. From the free throw line, the Sun buried 17 of 22 attempts for a percentage of 77.3%. When talking about rebounding, they earned 28 with 6 of them being offensive. They also doled out 14 assists for the game in addition to forcing the other team into 20 turnovers and earning 12 steals. With respect to defending, Connecticut allowed 50.0% from the field on 31 of 62 shooting. New York earned 24 dimes and had 7 steals for the contest. Furthermore, New York collected 35 rebounds (7 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 3 blocked shots. New York finished the game shooting 91.3% from the charity stripe by burying 21 of 23 shots. They made 4 of their 17 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Tina Charles is one player who was a major contributor in this matchup. She ended up scoring 17 points on 6 of 15 shooting. She played 34 minutes played and also snagged 8 rebounds. Charles went 40.0% from the field and distributed 2 assists.

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Connecticut comes into this matchup with a record of 5-22 this season. The Sun are shooting 30.1% on 3-pointers (167 of 555) and 80.8% from the free throw line. They average 74.9 pts per game (13th in basketball) while connecting on 40.4% from the field. They are losing possession via turnover 13.9 times per game and as a group are committing 20.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Connecticut is grabbing 31.2 boards per contest and has accounted for 457 assists on the year, which is 13th in basketball in terms of passing. On the defensive end, the Sun are able to force 14.0 turnovers per game and they draw 18.4 fouls. They are ranked 9th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 579 relinquished for the season. The Sun defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.5% (377 of 496) and they surrender 36.1 boards per game as a group. They concede 34.1% on three-point shots and they are 12th in the WNBA in PPG allowed (87.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the Phoenix Mercury got the victory with a final of 83-67 when they faced the Chicago Sky. The Mercury snagged 31 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive rebounds for a total of 45 in this game. They also gave up possession 9 times, while recording 8 steals for the matchup. The Sky were called for 13 fouls in the matchup which got the Mercury to the free throw line for 14 attempts. They were able to knock down 10 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 71.4%. In the matter of three-point attempts, Phoenix converted 7 out of 25 tries (28.0%). In all, the Mercury shot 33 for 73 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.2%. The Mercury allowed the Sky to convert 26 of 70 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 37.1% for the contest. They finished 25.0% from distance by connecting on 5 out of 20 and ended up shooting 10 out of 18 from the free throw line (55.6%). With respect to team rebounding, Phoenix permitted Chicago to get 40 overall (13 on the offensive glass).

Kahleah Copper ended up being a factor for the Mercury for this contest. She converted 8 out of 14 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and earned 3 rebounds. Copper scored 25 points in her 26 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 dimes in this contest.

Phoenix has a record of 17-11 for the year. The Mercury are committing 18.8 fouls per game while shooting 77.7% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 20.8 times per contest (5th in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 12.4 times per contest. Phoenix has 2,334 pts this season (83.4 per game) and they average 34.2 boards per contest. As an offense, the Mercury are connecting on 43.4% from the floor, which ranks 8th in the league. The Mercury on defense are ranked 7th in the WNBA in PPG allowed with 80.9. They have relinquished 20.0 assists and 35.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 7th and 9th in the WNBA. The Phoenix defense allows 34.0% on shots from 3-point land (232 of 682) and opponents are making 81.5% of their free throw attempts. They have forced 15.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.8% from the floor (4th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Connecticut

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