Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 6/11/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Youtube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (6-4) play the Dallas Wings (1-9) at Footprint Center on Wednesday.

The Dallas Wings took the court against the Minnesota Lynx and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 81-65 in their last game. Dallas walked away from the contest having earned a 29.2% FG percentage (19 of 65) and converted 8 out of their 24 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Wings made 19 of 23 attempts for a percentage of 82.6%. With respect to rebounding, they earned 41 with 13 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 14 dimes in this matchup while creating 6 turnovers and having 3 steals. When it comes to defending, Dallas allowed their opponent to shoot 43.3% from the field on 29 of 67 shooting. Minnesota totaled 8 assists and had 12 steals for this contest. Additionally, Minnesota pulled down 37 rebounds (8 offensive, 29 defensive) and added 11 rejections. Minnesota ended up going 71.4% at the free throw line by making 10 of their 14 tries. They also made 13 of their 31 tries from distance.

Arike Ogunbowale is one player who was a major factor for the game. She scored 26 points on 6 of 20 shooting. She was on the court for 40 minutes played and also pulled down 5 boards. Ogunbowale went 30.0% from the floor and recorded 6 dimes.

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Dallas steps onto the hardwood with a record of 1-9 on the year. They average 81.6 points per game (6th in the WNBA) while hitting 41.2% from the floor. The Wings are shooting 31.9% on three-point shots (67 of 210) and 79.1% from the free throw line. As a team, Dallas is collecting 36.3 rebounds per game and has 191 dimes on the year, which ranks 4th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. They cough up possession 13.3 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. Defensively, the Wings are able to force 13.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.8 fouls. The Wings are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.3% (134 of 178) and they concede 35.1 boards per game as a team. They rank 13th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 241 relinquished on the season. They are giving up 38.3% on 3-pointers while they are 11th in basketball in opponents points per game (88.1).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Phoenix Mercury walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 89-77 when they faced the Seattle Storm. The Mercury snagged 21 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 29 in the game. They turned it over 14 times, while earning 3 steals in this game. The Storm committed 15 personal fouls in the game which took the Mercury to the charity stripe for 13 attempts. They were able to convert 11 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 84.6%. When discussing three-point shots, Phoenix made 8 of 25 attempts (32.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Mercury shot 29 for 66 from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.9%. The Mercury allowed the Storm to make 32 of their 66 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 48.5% in this game. They finished 54.5% from three-point range by going 12 of 22 and ended up shooting 13 out of 17 from the free throw line (76.5%). When discussing rebounds, Phoenix allowed Seattle to grab 31 overall (9 on the offensive glass).

Satou Sabally ended up being a factor for the Mercury in this game. She knocked down 7 of 20 in the game for a field goal rate of 35.0%, and had 5 rebounds. Sabally accumulated 22 points in her 30 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 6 assists for the contest.

Phoenix has a record of 6-4 this year. Phoenix has 786 pts for the season (78.6 per contest) and they pull in 32.6 boards per game. The Mercury are committing 19.0 fouls per game and they go 76.9% from the free throw line. When it comes to offense, the Mercury are shooting 41.9% from the floor, which is 7th in the WNBA. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 19.3 times per contest (6th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.5 times per contest. The Mercury on defense are ranked 4th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 78.1. The Phoenix defense allows 31.7% on 3-point shots (79 of 249) and opponents are converting on 80.0% of their foul shots. They have allowed 19.9 assists and 34.9 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 8th and 9th in the league. They have forced 16.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.4% from the field (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix

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