Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 9/14/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN
TV: ESPN
Target Center is the venue where and the Minnesota Lynx (34-10) will take on the Golden State Valkyries (23-21) on Sunday in Game 1 of their first round series. Minnesota opens as 13.5 point favorites while the total is set at 148.5.
The Golden State Valkyries played the Minnesota Lynx and took a loss by a final of 72-53 in their last contest. Golden State walked away from the contest having earned a 28.8% FG percentage (19 out of 66) and made 3 out of their 27 shots from downtown. At the free throw line, the Valkyries buried 12 of 15 tries for a rate of 80.0%. In the matter of grabbing boards, they collected 35 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 18 dimes for this contest while creating 13 turnovers and getting 9 steals. Regarding defending, Golden State allowed the other team to go 43.3% from the field on 29 out of 67 shooting. Minnesota doled out 13 dimes and had 4 steals for the matchup. Additionally, Minnesota snagged 37 rebounds (13 offensive, 24 defensive) and added 7 rejections. Minnesota finished the game at 55.6% from the charity stripe by knocking down 5 of their 9 tries. They also knocked down 9 of their 28 attempts from three-point range.

Veronica Burton is a player who was a major contributor for this game. She was able to score 8 points on 2 out of 11 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 31 mins and also pulled down 3 boards. Burton finished the game at 18.2% from the floor and also dished out 7 assists.
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Golden State enters this game with a record of 23-21 this year. The Valkyries are shooting 32.5% on three-point shots (427 of 1,314) and 81.5% from the free throw line. They average 77.7 points per game (10th in basketball) while hitting 40.7% from the field. They turn it over 12.9 times per game and as a squad they are committing 17.5 fouls per contest. As a team, Golden State is pulling down 35.3 rebounds per game and has accumulated 815 assists for the year, which ranks 12th in the league in terms of passing. Defensively, the Valkyries are forcing their opponents into 11.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.8 personal fouls. They surrender 31.7% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 1st in the league in PPG allowed (76.3). The Valkyries defense is allowing a FG percentage of 40.5% (1,173 of 2,899) and they concede 33.3 boards per contest as a squad. They rank 3rd in the WNBA in giving up assists with 846 relinquished this season.
When they last stepped on the court, the Minnesota Lynx walked away with a victory by a final of 72-53 when they played the Golden State Valkyries. The Lynx were able to corral 25 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 in the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 17 times, while getting 12 steals for the contest. The Valkyries committed 15 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Lynx to the free throw line for a total of 9 shots. They were able to convert 5 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 55.6%. When talking about shots from distance, Minnesota converted 9 out of 28 tries (32.1%). In all, the Lynx shot 29 for 67 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.3%. The Lynx permitted the Valkyries to knock down 19 of their 66 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 28.8% in this contest. They finished 11.1% from 3-point land by connecting on 3 of 27 and finished the game at 12 of 15 at the free throw line (80.0%). Concerning how they attacked the glass, Minnesota allowed Golden State to collect 38 overall (15 on the offensive side).
Natisha Hiedeman ended up being a factor for the Lynx in this matchup. She converted 8 out of 12 for this game for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and had 2 rebounds. Hiedeman earned 21 points in her 24 mins on the court and tallied 1 assist for the game.
Minnesota has a mark of 34-10 so far this season. As an offensive unit, the Lynx are hitting on 47.2% from the floor, which ranks 1st in basketball. Minnesota has accounted for 3,787 points so far this year (86.1 per contest) and they snag 34.2 boards per game. They are earning an assist 23.3 times per game (1st in the WNBA) and they are turning it over 12.1 times per contest. The Lynx are responsible for committing 16.0 fouls per game and they go 76.0% from the charity stripe. The Lynx on defense are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in points allowed per contest with 76.7. They are forcing their opponents into 14.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 42.3% from the field (2nd in the league). The Minnesota defense surrenders 33.1% on shots from beyond the arc (345 of 1,042) and their opponents are converting on 77.5% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 18.8 dimes and 33.3 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 1st and 6th in the league.
Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State (+13.5)
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Additional Resources:
Minnesota Lynx - Twitter
Golden State Valkyries - Twitter