Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 6/5/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Thursday, June 5, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Phoenix Mercury (5-3) play the Golden State Valkyries (2-4) at Footprint Center on Thursday.

The Golden State Valkyries faced the Minnesota Lynx and ended up losing by a score of 86-75 in their last contest. Golden State ended with a 36.9% FG percentage (24 of 65) and buried 9 out of their 34 shots from distance. At the free throw line, the Valkyries made 18 of 22 tries for a rate of 81.8%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they earned 37 with 10 of them being offensive. They also dished out 15 assists for this contest in addition to creating 12 turnovers and getting 9 steals. In relation to defense, Golden State allowed the other team to shoot 45.5% from the floor on 30 out of 66 shooting. Minnesota recorded 10 dimes and had 10 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Minnesota snagged 36 boards (10 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 3 blocks. Minnesota finished the game shooting 75.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 15 of their 20 shots. They made 11 out of their 26 attempts from three-point range.

Veronica Burton is someone who came through in the matchup. She notched 21 points on 7 out of 11 shooting. She played for 24 mins played and also snagged 5 boards. Burton finished the contest at 63.6% from the field and also distributed 3 dimes.

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Golden State comes into this matchup with a record of 2-4 on the campaign. They are averaging 74.0 points per outing (12th in the league) while going 36.8% from the field. The Valkyries are shooting 27.5% on shots from distance (55 of 200) and 81.2% from the free throw line. As a team, Golden State is pulling down 36.0 boards per contest and has racked up 99 assists so far this year, which is 13th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 15.5 times per game and as a team they commit 18.5 personal fouls per contest. When they are on defense, the Valkyries are forcing 13.8 turnovers per game while drawing 18.2 fouls. They give up 37.7% from beyond the arc while they are 9th in the league in points per game allowed (82.3). The Valkyries defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 42.9% (83 of 109) and they surrender 35.0 rebounds per game as a group. They are currently ranked 3rd in the WNBA in giving up assists with 125 surrendered on the season.

The last time they took the court, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a final score of 88-65 when they faced the Minnesota Lynx. The Mercury were able to corral 18 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards for a total of 24 in this matchup. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 11 steals in the game. The Lynx committed 13 fouls in the matchup which got the Mercury to the charity stripe for 5 tries. They were able to make 4 of the free throws for a rate of 80.0%. Regarding 3-point attempts, Phoenix made 5 of 30 attempts (16.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Mercury went 28 for 73 from the field which gave them a percentage of 38.4%. The Mercury permitted the Lynx to bury 34 out of 58 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 58.6% in this matchup. They finished 48.0% from beyond the arc by shooting 12 of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 8 of 9 at the free throw line (88.9%). With respect to how they attacked the glass, Phoenix permitted Minnesota to grab 37 overall (3 offensive).

Monique Akoa-Makani ended up being a factor for the Mercury for the contest. She made 2 out of 4 for the contest for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and accounted for 1 rebound. Akoa-Makani earned 4 points in her 13 mins of playing time and had 2 dimes for the contest.

Phoenix has a mark of 5-3 on the year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mercury are connecting on 41.2% from the floor, which ranks them 9th in the WNBA. Phoenix has totaled 623 points on the year (77.9 per contest) and they snag 32.6 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 19.6 times per game (6th in the league) and they turn the ball over 13.0 times per contest. The Mercury are responsible for committing 19.0 fouls per game and they go 76.4% from the charity stripe. The Mercury on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in the WNBA in points given up per game with 76.9. They have conceded 20.0 dimes and 36.1 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 7th and 11th in the league. The Phoenix defense surrenders 29.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (58 of 198) and their opponents are knocking down 81.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing their opponents into 17.1 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 41.7% from the floor (4th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix

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