Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 8/22/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Friday, August 22, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Golden State Valkyries (18-17) go to Footprint Center on Friday where they'll take on the Phoenix Mercury (21-13).

The Golden State Valkyries stepped onto the hardwood against the Phoenix Mercury and ended up losing by a score of 98-91 in their last game. Golden State finished the game having earned a 41.6% FG percentage (32 of 77) and converted 12 out of their 35 3-point shots. At the free throw line, the Valkyries buried 15 of their 17 tries for a rate of 88.2%. In regard to pulling down rebounds, they earned 29 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 20 assists in this matchup while forcing 10 turnovers and having 9 steals. In regard to the defense, Golden State allowed the other team to shoot 49.3% from the field on 34 out of 69 shooting. Phoenix dished out 10 dimes and had 1 steal in this contest. Furthermore, Phoenix totaled 40 rebounds (10 offensive, 30 defensive) and had 3 blocks. Phoenix finished shooting 82.6% from the free throw line by knocking down 19 of their 23 tries. They converted 11 of 31 shots from beyond the arc.

Veronica Burton is a player who was a major contributor for the contest. She ended up walking away with 24 points on 6 of 13 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 34 mins and also pulled down 2 boards. Burton went 46.2% from the floor and also recorded 14 assists.

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Golden State comes into this matchup with a win-loss record of 18-17 on the campaign. The Valkyries are shooting 32.4% on 3-point shots (343 of 1,058) and 81.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 78.2 points per game (11th in the league) while hitting 40.5% from the floor. They are giving up possession 12.8 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 18.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Golden State is pulling in 35.2 boards per contest and is sitting with 641 assists on the year, which ranks 12th in the WNBA in terms of passing. Defensively, the Valkyries are forcing 12.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.1 personal fouls. They concede 31.9% on shots from downtown and they are 2nd in basketball in points per game allowed (77.4). The Valkyries defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 40.8% (420 of 633) and they surrender 33.7 boards per game as a team. They rank 5th in the WNBA in allowing assists with 672 surrendered for the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Phoenix Mercury took home the win by a final score of 98-91 against the Golden State Valkyries. The Mercury earned 30 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 40 in the matchup. They also gave up possession 10 times, while earning 1 steal for this contest. The Valkyries committed 18 fouls in the game which got the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 23 tries. They were able to make 19 of the free throws for a clip of 82.6%. With respect to 3-point shots, Phoenix converted 11 of their 31 tries (35.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Mercury finished the game shooting 34 for 69 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 49.3%. The Mercury allowed the Valkyries to convert 32 of their 77 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 41.6% for the contest. They wrapped up this game 34.3% from beyond the perimeter by going 12 of 35 and finished the contest at 15 of 17 at the free throw line (88.2%). In relation to team rebounding, Phoenix permitted Golden State to grab 29 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Kahleah Copper ended up being a factor for the Mercury for the contest. She made 9 out of 20 in this contest giving her a rate of 45.0%, and earned 5 rebounds. Copper earned 25 points in her 32 mins on the court and tallied 1 assist in this matchup.

Phoenix has a record of 21-13 this year. The Mercury have committed 18.4 fouls per game and they connect on 79.0% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 20.8 times per contest (6th in the league) and they cough up possession 12.6 times per game. Phoenix has earned 2,843 pts for the year (83.6 per contest) and they collect 34.6 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mercury are hitting on 43.6% from the floor, which ranks 8th in the league. The Mercury on the defensive end are ranked 4th in the league in points given up per game with 80.1. They have allowed 19.6 dimes and 35.2 rebounds per contest, which ranks 6th and 10th in the WNBA. The Phoenix defense concedes 32.3% on 3-pointers (273 of 844) and their opponents are connecting on 81.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are able to force 14.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 42.4% from the field (4th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State

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