Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 9/14/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025

Location: Gateway Center Arena in College Park, GA

TV: ABC

Gateway Center Arena is the venue where and the Atlanta Dream (30-14) will play the Indiana Fever (24-20) on Sunday in Game 1 of their first round series. Atlanta opens as 7.5 point favorites and the total comes in at 158.5.

The Indiana Fever faced the Minnesota Lynx and went home with a win by a final score of 83-72 in their last contest. Indiana ended the game with a 48.4% FG percentage (31 of 64) and buried 9 of their 19 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Fever converted 12 of their 14 attempts for a percentage of 85.7%. When discussing grabbing boards, they earned 34 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 19 dimes in this game while creating 11 turnovers and earning 6 steals. With respect to the defense, Indiana allowed their opponent to shoot 44.6% from the field on 33 of 74 shooting. Minnesota doled out 13 assists and had 8 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Minnesota pulled down 35 rebounds (13 offensive, 22 defensive) and got 6 blocked shots. Minnesota finished the game shooting 44.4% at the charity stripe by making 4 of 9 tries. They also knocked down 2 of their 20 shots from long range.

Kelsey Mitchell is one player who was a factor in the matchup. She accumulated 18 points on 7 out of 10 shooting. She played for 26 minutes and totaled 1 rebound. Mitchell shot 70.0% from the floor and also distributed 3 assists.

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Indiana comes into this matchup with a mark of 24-20 for the year. They are averaging 84.9 pts per contest (3rd in basketball) while connecting on 45.6% from the floor. The Fever are connecting on 34.6% from downtown (365 of 1,056) and 77.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Indiana is collecting 33.4 boards per game and has accounted for 906 dimes on the campaign, which is 7th in the league in terms of passing. They turn it over 12.8 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.6 personal fouls per game. When they are on defense, the Fever are able to force 14.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.0 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 4th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 852 surrendered for the campaign. The Fever defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 44.9% (621 of 838) and they surrender 32.7 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are giving up 32.9% on 3-point shots while they are 8th in basketball in PPG allowed (81.5).

In their last game, the Atlanta Dream took home the win by a final score of 88-72 against the Connecticut Sun. The Dream corralled 26 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 31 in the matchup. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while recording 7 steals for this contest. The Sun committed 14 fouls in this contest which got the Dream to the free throw line for a total of 14 tries. They were able to knock down 12 of the free throw tries for a rate of 85.7%. With respect to shots from beyond the arc, Atlanta made 10 out of their 27 attempts (37.0%). Overall, the Dream finished shooting 33 for 61 from the field which had them sitting at 54.1%. The Dream allowed the Sun to convert 26 of their 73 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 35.6% in the matchup. They shot 15.0% from distance by shooting 3 of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 17 of 21 from the free throw line (81.0%). In reference to how they cleaned up the glass, Atlanta permitted Connecticut to get 35 in total (14 offensive).

Brittney Griner ended up being important for the Dream for this game. She converted 7 of 11 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 63.6%, and had 4 rebounds. Griner earned 17 points in her 21 mins on the hardwood and totaled 1 assist for the game.

Atlanta has a win-loss record of 30-14 on the year. Atlanta has 3,712 points for the campaign (84.4 per contest) and they pull in 36.6 boards per game. The Dream are committing 15.8 fouls per contest and they go 78.6% from the free throw line. As an offensive unit, the Dream are hitting on 44.3% from the floor, which is ranked 6th in the league. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 21.4 times per contest (3rd in the WNBA) and they are giving up possession 11.2 times per game. The Dream on defense are ranked 3rd in basketball in points allowed per contest with 76.8. They relinquish 18.8 assists and 31.4 boards per game, which ranks them 2nd and 1st in the league. The Atlanta defense concedes 32.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (290 of 903) and opponents are making 77.5% of their free throw shots. They are able to force 11.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 42.9% from the floor (5th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-7.5)

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