Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 8/7/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Thursday, August 7, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Youtube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (18-11) host the Indiana Fever (17-13) at Footprint Center on Thursday.

The Indiana Fever took the court against the Los Angeles Sparks and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 100-91 in their last contest. Indiana finished with a 44.2% field goal percentage (34 of 77) and converted 12 of their 33 3-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Fever made 11 of their 13 attempts for a percentage of 84.6%. In relation to grabbing boards, they earned 27 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 23 assists in the game in addition to forcing 11 turnovers and earning 4 steals. When it comes to defending, Indiana allowed the other team to go 56.1% from the floor on 37 out of 66 shooting. Los Angeles doled out 7 dimes and had 1 steal in this contest. In addition, Los Angeles pulled down 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 7 blocked shots. Los Angeles walked away from this one shooting 86.7% from the charity stripe by converting 13 of their 15 tries. They made 13 of their 26 attempts from 3-point land.

Kelsey Mitchell is someone who was a major factor in the game. She was able to score 34 points on 11 of 19 shooting. She was on the court for 31 mins played and also grabbed 2 rebounds. Mitchell finished the contest at 57.9% from the field and totaled 6 dimes.

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Indiana enters this contest with a win-loss mark of 17-13 for the year. They currently have an average of 85.3 pts per game (4th in the WNBA) on 45.6% from the field. The Fever are hitting 34.1% on 3-pointers (252 of 740) and 77.7% from the free throw line. As a team, Indiana is pulling in 33.8 rebounds per contest and has tallied 619 dimes this year, which is 5th in the WNBA in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 13.0 times per game and as a team are committing 19.4 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on defense, the Fever are forcing their opponents into 13.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.8 personal fouls. They are giving up 31.4% on 3-point shots and they are 8th in the league in PPG allowed (81.4). The Fever defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.7% (416 of 594) and they surrender 32.9 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 3rd in the WNBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 552 relinquished so far this season.

For their last game, the Phoenix Mercury went home victorious with a score of 82-66 against the Connecticut Sun. The Mercury collected 31 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 for this contest. They also turned the ball over 18 times, while recording 9 steals for the matchup. The Sun had 18 fouls in the game which got the Mercury to the free throw line for 19 tries. They were able to knock down 16 of them for a rate of 84.2%. In regard to 3-point shots, Phoenix made 8 out of their 20 tries (40.0%). In all, the Mercury went 29 for 64 from the floor which gave them a rate of 45.3%. The Mercury allowed the Sun to bury 25 out of their 72 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 34.7% for the matchup. They wrapped up this game 20.0% from 3-point land by shooting 5 of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 11 of 12 at the free throw line (91.7%). In the matter of attacking the glass, Phoenix allowed Connecticut to get 35 overall (12 on the offensive side).

Satou Sabally pitched in for the Mercury in this contest. She converted 9 out of 12 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 75.0%, and earned 6 rebounds. Sabally recorded 23 points in her 29 mins of playing time and accounted for 1 assist for the matchup.

Phoenix has a win-loss mark of 18-11 on the year. On the offensive side of the court, the Mercury are connecting on 43.5% from the field, which is ranked 7th in the WNBA. Phoenix has totaled 2,416 points on the season (83.3 per contest) and they pull in 34.3 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 20.7 times per contest (5th in the league) and they are turning it over 12.6 times per game. The Mercury commit 18.5 fouls per game and they shoot 77.9% from the free throw line. The Mercury defensively are ranked 5th in the WNBA in PPG surrendered with 80.4. They have conceded 19.9 assists and 35.4 boards on a nightly basis, which is 7th and 9th in the WNBA. The Phoenix defense gives up 33.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter (237 of 707) and their opponents are knocking down 81.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are able to force 15.1 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.5% from the floor (4th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Indiana

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