Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Prediction, 9/28/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever

Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ABC

The Las Vegas Aces (30-14) are headed to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday where they'll take on the Indiana Fever (24-20) in Game 4 of the WNBA Semifinals. Vegas leads the series 2-1 and opens as 4.5 point favorites. The total is set at 159.5.

The Las Vegas Aces earned the victory with a final of 84-72 in Game 3. Las Vegas ended the contest having earned a 50.8% field goal percentage (33 of 65) and buried 4 of their 10 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the free throw line, the Aces made 14 of their 17 attempts for a percentage of 82.4%. When talking about grabbing boards, they collected 26 with 4 of them being offensive. They also distributed 20 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing 14 turnovers and getting 8 steals. When it comes to defense, Las Vegas let their opponent shoot 35.6% from the field on 26 of 73 shooting. Indiana totaled 16 assists and had 6 steals in this game. Moreover, Indiana snagged 39 boards (16 offensive, 23 defensive) and had 5 rejections. Indiana shot 61.9% from the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of 21 shots. They also converted 7 out of their 23 shots from downtown.

Jackie Young is a player who was a factor in the game. She finished with 25 points on 9 of 14 shooting. She played 34 mins and also pulled down 5 rebounds. Young finished shooting 64.3% from the floor and recorded 4 dimes.

Get all of our Free WNBA Picks

W**Articles-WNBA**W

Las Vegas comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 30-14 so far this season. They cough up possession 11.9 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 16.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Las Vegas is collecting 33.5 boards per contest and has accounted for 861 dimes on the campaign, which ranks 9th in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. The Aces are shooting 35.1% on shots from downtown (400 of 1,138) and 82.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 83.6 points per outing (6th in the league) on 43.9% from the floor. On the defensive end, the Aces are able to force 12.5 turnovers per game and they draw 17.2 personal fouls. They currently rank 9th in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 897 conceded so far this year. The Aces defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.6% (551 of 758) and they surrender 35.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They relinquish 31.6% on 3-point shots and they rank 7th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (80.7).

In Game 3, the Fever were able to snag 19 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards totaling 30 in the game. They turned it over 18 times, while recording 5 steals in this matchup. The Aces had 22 fouls in the matchup which got the Fever to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to knock down 13 of those for a rate of 61.9%. When talking about 3-pointers, Indiana converted 7 of 23 attempts (30.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Fever ended up going 26 out of 73 from the floor which gave them a rate of 35.6%. The Fever allowed the Aces to bury 33 of 65 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 50.8% in the matchup. They finished 40.0% from three-point range by shooting 4 of 10 and walked away from this one shooting 14 of 17 at the free throw line (82.4%). With respect to how they cleaned up the glass, Indiana allowed Las Vegas to snag 30 in total (8 on the offensive side).

Kelsey Mitchell ended up being important for the Fever in this matchup. She made 8 of 26 for the contest for a field goal rate of 30.8%, and had 2 rebounds. Mitchell accumulated 21 points in her 37 minutes of playing time and had 1 assist for the contest.

Indiana has a mark of 24-20 on the season. The Fever commit 18.6 fouls per game and they go 77.0% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 20.6 times per game (7th in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.8 times per game. Indiana has scored 3,734 pts for the year (84.9 per game) and they average 33.4 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Fever are connecting on 45.6% from the floor, which ranks 3rd in the league. The Fever on defense are ranked 8th in basketball in PPG allowed with 81.5. They have conceded 19.4 assists and 32.7 boards per contest, which has them ranked 4th and 4th in the league. The Indiana defense concedes 32.9% on 3-pointers (314 of 955) and their opponents are knocking down 78.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing their opponents into 14.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 44.9% from the floor (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-4.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here