Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, 7/8/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty

Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: WNBA League Pass

The New York Liberty (12-6) host the Las Vegas Aces (9-9) at Barclays Center on Tuesday.

The Las Vegas Aces played the Connecticut Sun and went home with a win by a final score of 86-68 in their last contest. Las Vegas finished the game with a 54.0% field goal percentage (34 of 63) and knocked down 9 of their 26 3-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Aces buried 9 of 13 tries for a rate of 69.2%. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they compiled 35 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 21 dimes for this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and having 9 steals. In reference to defending, Las Vegas allowed the other team to go 38.1% from the field on 24 of 63 shooting. Connecticut doled out 6 assists and had 9 steals for the game. Furthermore, Connecticut had 27 rebounds (6 offensive, 21 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Connecticut walked away from this one shooting 78.9% from the free throw line by making 15 of 19 shots. They also converted 5 out of their 18 tries from 3-point range.

A'ja Wilson is a player who was a factor in the matchup. She accumulated 19 points on 8 out of 10 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 24 minutes and also pulled down 3 rebounds. Wilson finished 80.0% from the floor but finished the game without an assist.

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Las Vegas heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 9-9 this year. The Aces are connecting on 34.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (158 of 463) and 84.4% from the charity stripe. They average 79.7 points per outing (9th in the league) while hitting 40.8% from the floor. They are turning it over 13.1 times per game and as a team they commit 16.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Las Vegas is snagging 33.2 boards per game and has 308 dimes so far this year, which ranks 12th in the league in terms of passing. When they are on defense, the Aces are able to force 12.7 turnovers per game and they draw 17.9 fouls. They give up 34.3% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 9th in basketball in opponents PPG (81.2). The Aces defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 44.4% (229 of 323) and they surrender 35.3 boards per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 10th in the league in giving up assists with 378 relinquished this season.

In their last game, the New York Liberty went home defeated by a final of 79-70 when they played the Seattle Storm. The Liberty recorded 25 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards for a total of 36 for the matchup. They also turned it over 15 times, while earning 7 steals for the game. The Storm earned 14 personal fouls for the game which took the Liberty to the free throw line for a total of 16 shots. They were able to convert 13 of those for a rate of 81.3%. With respect to three-point shots, New York buried 9 of their 24 tries (37.5%). When this game wrapped up, the Liberty finished shooting 24 for 68 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 35.3%. The Liberty permitted the Storm to make 32 of 71 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 45.1% for the game. They shot 29.4% from distance by connecting on 5 out of 17 and finished the contest at 10 of 14 at the free throw line (71.4%). In relation to team rebounding, New York allowed Seattle to snag 35 in all (8 on the offensive glass).

Sabrina Ionescu ended up having an impact for the Liberty in this game. She made 7 of 19 for the matchup giving her a rate of 36.8%, and totaled 9 rebounds. Ionescu recorded 22 points in her 32 minutes on the hardwood and had 6 assists for the game.

New York has a win-loss record of 12-6 this season. The Liberty commit 16.8 personal fouls per game and they hit 82.3% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 21.1 times per game (3rd in basketball) and they turn the ball over 13.2 times per game. New York has accounted for 1,560 pts on the year (86.7 per contest) and they snag 34.9 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Liberty are connecting on 45.0% from the field, which ranks them 4th in the WNBA. The Liberty on defense are ranked 6th in the WNBA in points given up per game with 79.8. They concede 20.6 dimes and 36.2 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking them 8th and 12th in basketball. The New York defense gives up 33.0% on three-point shots (159 of 482) and opponents are making 73.1% of their free throw attempts. They are forcing 14.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 41.6% from the floor (3rd in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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