Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 8/15/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Friday, August 15, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Youtube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (19-12) host the Las Vegas Aces (19-14) at Footprint Center on Friday.

The Las Vegas Aces took the court against the New York Liberty and earned the victory with a final of 83-77 in their last game. Las Vegas ended the game having earned a 38.5% FG percentage (25 of 65) and made 10 of 29 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the charity stripe, the Aces knocked down 23 of 28 attempts for a percentage of 82.1%. Regarding pulling down boards, they earned a total of 39 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 15 assists in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In relation to defense, Las Vegas allowed their opponent to shoot 43.8% from the field on 28 of 64 shooting. New York totaled 6 dimes and had 5 steals in the matchup. Moreover, New York totaled 30 rebounds (6 offensive, 24 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. New York ended up going 87.5% from the free throw line by knocking down 14 of their 16 attempts. They also knocked down 7 out of their 25 shots from 3-point range.

Jewell Loyd is one player who had an impact for this contest. She totaled 21 points on 7 out of 12 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 26 mins and also snagged 2 rebounds. Loyd finished the game at 58.3% from the field and also distributed 1 assist.

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Las Vegas steps onto the court with a mark of 19-14 on the year. They are averaging 82.1 pts per contest (7th in basketball) while hitting 42.2% from the field. The Aces are shooting 32.8% on shots beyond the perimeter (278 of 848) and 82.0% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Las Vegas is collecting 33.9 boards per game and has accumulated 595 assists on the year, which has them ranked 11th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. They are losing possession via turnover 12.7 times per game and as a unit they are committing 17.4 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on defense, the Aces are forcing 12.4 turnovers per game and they draw 18.4 fouls. The Aces defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 44.2% (410 of 606) and they concede 35.0 rebounds per contest as a unit. They currently rank 9th in the WNBA in giving up assists with 680 conceded for the campaign. They are giving up 33.7% on shots from distance and they are 9th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (82.7).

In their last game, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a score of 74-66 when they played the Atlanta Dream. The Mercury were able to collect 25 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 34 for the matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while earning 6 steals for the matchup. The Dream were called for 15 fouls for this contest which got the Mercury to the charity stripe for a total of 14 shots. They were able to knock down 12 of those for a percentage of 85.7%. With respect to 3-point shots, Phoenix made 6 out of their 23 attempts (26.1%). When the final whistle was blown, the Mercury walked away from this one shooting 24 for 69 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 34.8%. The Mercury allowed the Dream to convert 25 out of 65 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 38.5% in this matchup. They wrapped up this game 28.1% from three-point range by going 9 out of 32 and finished the contest at 15 of 19 at the free throw line (78.9%). Regarding team rebounding, Phoenix permitted Atlanta to snag 38 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Alyssa Thomas was important for the Mercury for the contest. She converted 9 of 14 for this contest for a rate of 64.3%, and tallied 8 rebounds. Thomas scored 21 points in her 34 mins on the hardwood and had 5 dimes in this game.

Phoenix has a mark of 19-12 for the campaign. Phoenix has earned 2,577 pts so far this year (83.1 per game) and they collect 34.6 rebounds per contest. The Mercury are committing 18.4 personal fouls per game while shooting 78.7% from the charity stripe. When it comes to executing on offense, the Mercury are hitting on 43.2% from the floor, which is 8th in the league. They are earning an assist 20.6 times per contest (6th in the league) and they are giving up possession 12.6 times per contest. The Mercury on defense are ranked 4th in basketball in PPG given up with 79.5. They allow 19.6 assists and 35.4 total boards per game, which ranks them 7th and 10th in basketball. The Phoenix defense concedes 32.9% on shots from behind the 3-point line (253 of 769) and opponents are converting on 81.1% of their free throw attempts. They have forced 15.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.1% from the floor (4th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Las Vegas

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