Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty Prediction, 7/3/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty

Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Los Angeles Sparks (5-12) head to Barclays Center on Thursday where they'll take on the New York Liberty (11-5).

The Los Angeles Sparks took the court against the Chicago Sky and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 92-85 in their last game. Los Angeles walked away from the game with a 41.7% FG percentage (30 out of 72) and knocked down 9 out of their 28 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Sparks made 16 of 22 shots for a rate of 72.7%. Concerning grabbing boards, they earned 35 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 22 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 7 steals. In the matter of defense, Los Angeles allowed the other team to shoot 48.5% from the floor on 33 out of 68 shooting. Chicago earned 9 dimes and had 6 steals for the game. Moreover, Chicago pulled down 35 boards (9 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 7 rejections. Chicago went 88.2% at the free throw line by knocking down 15 of their 17 shots. They buried 11 of 26 tries from distance.

Kelsey Plum is one player who was a major factor for the contest. She notched 22 points on 4 out of 16 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 35 minutes played and pulled down 5 boards. Plum ended up going 25.0% from the field and distributed 7 assists.

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Los Angeles heads into this game with a mark of 5-12 on the year. They are losing possession via turnover 15.2 times per game and as a group they commit 18.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Los Angeles is collecting 33.1 boards per contest and has earned 327 assists this season, which has them ranked 7th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Sparks are connecting on 33.3% on shots from beyond the arc (138 of 415) and 76.2% from the free throw line. They average 81.8 pts per contest (7th in the league) while going 43.6% from the field. On defense, the Sparks are able to force 13.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.1 personal fouls. They are ranked 11th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 358 surrendered this season. The Sparks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 44.7% (221 of 342) and they surrender 33.4 boards per contest as a squad. They relinquish 33.7% on shots from distance and they rank 11th in the WNBA in PPG allowed (86.8).

When they last stepped on the court, the New York Liberty went home defeated by a final of 90-81 when they played the Atlanta Dream. The Liberty were able to pull down 25 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 in this contest. They also coughed it up 13 times, while recording 7 steals for the contest. The Dream committed 16 fouls for this game which took the Liberty to the charity stripe for a total of 15 shots. They were able to bury 12 of them for a clip of 80.0%. In reference to 3-point shots, New York converted 9 of their 26 tries (34.6%). At the conclusion of this game, the Liberty went 30 out of 68 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.1%. The Liberty permitted the Dream to convert 37 out of their 70 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.9% for this contest. They finished 21.1% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 4 out of 19 and walked away from this one shooting 12 out of 22 at the charity stripe (54.5%). When it comes to cleaning the glass, New York permitted Atlanta to snag 38 in all (6 offensive).

Breanna Stewart ended up being a factor for the Liberty in this contest. She converted 7 of 18 for this contest giving her a field goal percentage of 38.9%, and totaled 9 rebounds. Stewart accumulated 21 points in her 34 mins on the court and accounted for 4 assists in the matchup.

New York has a win-loss record of 11-5 for the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Liberty are hitting on 45.8% from the field, which is ranked 3rd in the league. New York has accounted for 1,401 points for the season (87.6 per game) and they collect 35.0 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 21.3 times per contest (3rd in the WNBA) and they are turning it over 13.1 times per game. The Liberty are responsible for committing 17.1 fouls per contest and they go 82.0% from the free throw line. The Liberty on defense are ranked 7th in basketball in PPG given up with 79.9. The New York defense concedes 33.4% on three-point shots (149 of 446) and their opposition makes 72.8% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 20.5 assists and 36.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks 8th and 12th in the WNBA. They are forcing 14.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 41.1% from the floor (3rd in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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