Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings Prediction, 5/16/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Dallas Wings

Date: Friday, May 16, 2025

Location: College Park Center in Arlington, TX

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Dallas Wings (9-31 last year) host the Minnesota Lynx (30-10 last season) at College Park Center on Friday.

The Minnesota Lynx took the court against the New York Liberty and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 67-62 in their last game last year. Minnesota finished the contest having earned a 37.1% field goal percentage (26 of 70) and made 3 of their 19 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Lynx made 7 of their 8 tries for a percentage of 87.5%. In regard to hauling in rebounds, they collected 33 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 23 assists in the matchup as well as creating 17 turnovers and having 15 steals. In reference to defense, Minnesota allowed the other team to go 30.6% from the floor on 22 out of 72 shooting. New York earned 9 dimes and had 10 steals in the game. Furthermore, New York had 44 rebounds (9 offensive, 35 defensive) and got 5 rejections. New York ended up shooting 84.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 21 of 25 shots. They made 2 of their 23 shots from distance.

Napheesa Collier is one player who was a major contributor for this game. She notched 22 points on 11 out of 23 shooting. She played 44 mins played and collected 7 rebounds. Collier went 47.8% from the field and also dished out 2 assists.

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Minnesota heads into this contest after finishing with a record of 30-10 last year. They averaged 82.0 pts per contest (6th in basketball) on 44.8% from the field. The Lynx shot 38.0% from downtown (380 of 1,000) and 79.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Minnesota grabbed 34.3 rebounds per game and tallied 921 dimes last year, which was 1st in the league in terms of passing the ball. They lost possession via turnover 13.4 times per contest and as a unit committed 16.4 fouls per game. On defense, the Lynx were able to force 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 15.7 personal fouls. The Lynx allowed a FG percentage of 41.0% (1,127 of 2,749) and they surrendered 35.3 rebounds per game as a team. They were ranked 1st in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 742 conceded throughout last year. They gave up 30.1% on shots from downtown and they were 2nd in basketball in points per game allowed (75.6).

The last time they took the hardwood last season, the Dallas Wings went home defeated by a final of 98-84 when they faced the Las Vegas Aces. The Wings were able to collect 26 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 33 in the matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while recording 7 steals for the contest. The Aces committed 19 personal fouls in this contest which took the Wings to the charity stripe for a total of 19 attempts. They were able to knock down 15 of them for a rate of 78.9%. When discussing shots from 3-point land, Dallas buried 9 of their 20 attempts (45.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Wings finished the game shooting 30 for 70 from the field which gave them a rate of 42.9%. The Wings allowed the Aces to bury 35 of 75 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.7% in this contest. They finished the game shooting 40.5% from downtown by going 15 out of 37 and ended up shooting 13 of 16 at the charity stripe (81.3%). With respect to rebounding, Dallas allowed Las Vegas to snag 38 in all (10 offensive).

Satou Sabally ended up being a major contributor for the Wings in this matchup. She made 6 out of 12 in this game giving her a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 7 rebounds. Sabally scored 25 points in her 32 minutes on the hardwood and earned 7 dimes for the game.

Dallas had a win-loss mark of 9-31 last year. As an offense, the Wings hit 44.6% from the field, which was ranked 5th in the WNBA. Dallas earned 3,368 points throughout last season (84.2 per game) and they grabbed 34.8 rebounds per game. They dished out assists 20.4 times per contest (6th in basketball) and they turned it over 14.8 times per contest. The Wings committed 18.5 personal fouls per contest and they shot 78.6% from the charity stripe. The Wings were ranked 12th in basketball in PPG surrendered with 92.1. The Dallas defense allowed 36.5% on shots from distance (342 of 937) and opponents connected on 80.6% of their free throw shots. They forced their opponents into 12.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and allowed teams to shoot 47.5% from the floor (12th in basketball). They surrendered 23.1 assists and 33.0 boards per game, which had them ranked 12th and 3rd in those categories.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas

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