Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 9/4/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: WNBA League Pass

T-Mobile Arena is the venue where and the Las Vegas Aces (26-14) will play the Minnesota Lynx (32-8) on Thursday.

The Minnesota Lynx faced off with the Dallas Wings and earned the victory with a final of 96-71 in their last game. Minnesota wrapped up the game with a 55.4% field goal percentage (36 of 65) and buried 14 of 24 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the free throw line, the Lynx buried 10 of 11 attempts for a rate of 90.9%. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 32 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 28 dimes for the contest while creating 13 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In relation to defending, Minnesota let their opponent shoot 38.8% from the field on 26 out of 67 shooting. Dallas recorded 10 dimes and had 9 steals in this game. On top of that, Dallas had 27 rebounds (10 offensive, 17 defensive) and earned 1 block. Dallas ended up shooting 69.6% from the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 23 attempts. They converted 3 of 15 attempts from distance.

Napheesa Collier is one player who had an impact for this game. She was able to score 25 points on 7 of 10 shooting. She was on the court for 23 minutes played and grabbed 3 rebounds. Collier finished the game shooting 70.0% from the floor and also recorded 1 assist.

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Minnesota steps onto the court with a mark of 32-8 on the campaign. They lose possession via turnover 12.1 times per contest and as a group are committing 16.2 fouls per contest. As a team, Minnesota is collecting 34.2 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 942 assists on the season, which is 1st in the league in terms of passing. The Lynx are shooting 38.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (390 of 1,016) and 76.7% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 87.0 pts per game (1st in the WNBA) while hitting 47.4% from the floor. On the defensive end, the Lynx are forcing 14.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.7 fouls. The Lynx are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.2% (561 of 669) and they relinquish 33.2 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They currently rank 1st in the WNBA in allowing assists with 753 conceded on the season. They are giving up 33.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 2nd in basketball in points per game allowed (76.7).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Las Vegas Aces walked away with a victory by a final of 81-75 against the Atlanta Dream. The Aces were able to collect 27 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 32 for this game. They also gave up possession 7 times, while getting 4 steals for the contest. The Dream had 12 personal fouls for the game which got the Aces to the charity stripe for a total of 11 tries. They were able to knock down 9 of them for a percentage of 81.8%. When it comes to 3-point shots, Las Vegas made 8 of 21 tries (38.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Aces finished shooting 32 out of 67 from the floor which had them shooting 47.8%. The Aces allowed the Dream to make 30 out of 75 attempts from the field which had them shooting 40.0% in this contest. They shot 16.7% from distance by shooting 4 of 24 and ended up going 11 of 13 at the free throw line (84.6%). When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Las Vegas allowed Atlanta to grab 43 in all (13 offensive).

A'ja Wilson was important for the Aces for this game. She knocked down 13 of 21 for this contest giving her a field goal percentage of 61.9%, and tallied 9 rebounds. Wilson scored 34 points in her 35 minutes on the court and had 1 assist for the matchup.

Las Vegas has a win-loss mark of 26-14 for the campaign. Las Vegas has accounted for 3,308 points for the campaign (82.7 per game) and they average 33.7 boards per game. The Aces are committing 17.0 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 82.4% from the free throw line. On the offensive side of the ball, the Aces are shooting 43.1% from the floor, which ranks them 9th in basketball. They are assisting teammates 18.9 times per contest (11th in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 12.2 times per contest. The Aces on the defensive side of the court are 7th in the league in points given up per game with 81.6. They have allowed 20.5 assists and 35.4 total boards per game, which is ranked 9th and 10th in the league. The Las Vegas defense allows 32.2% on shots from beyond the arc (295 of 917) and their opponents are knocking down 81.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing 12.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 43.7% from the floor (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota

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