Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 5/30/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Friday, May 30, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Youtube TV

Footprint Center is the venue where and the Phoenix Mercury (4-1) will play the Minnesota Lynx (5-0) on Friday.

The Minnesota Lynx took the court against the Seattle Storm and notched a win by a score of 82-77 in their last contest. Minnesota wrapped up the contest with a 47.1% field goal percentage (32 of 68) and knocked down 7 out of their 19 shots from downtown. At the free throw line, the Lynx converted 11 of their 12 shots for a rate of 91.7%. Concerning grabbing rebounds, they collected 30 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 18 dimes for the contest while forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and getting 11 steals. Regarding defense, Minnesota let their opponent shoot 43.3% from the floor on 29 out of 67 shooting. Seattle distributed 10 dimes and had 8 steals for the matchup. In addition, Seattle pulled down 34 boards (10 offensive, 24 defensive) and had 3 blocks. Seattle finished 72.2% from the free throw line by burying 13 of their 18 attempts. They converted 6 out of their 24 tries from long range.

Courtney Williams is a player who was a factor for the matchup. She finished with 23 points on 10 of 18 shooting. She saw the court for 33 mins and pulled down 5 rebounds. Williams finished 55.6% from the field and also distributed 4 dimes.

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Minnesota heads into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 5-0 this season. The Lynx are shooting 35.4% on shots from 3-point land (40 of 113) and 78.3% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 86.2 pts per contest (2nd in basketball) on 47.0% from the field. They are losing possession via turnover 12.8 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.2 fouls per contest. As a team, Minnesota is pulling in 33.8 boards per game and has totaled 120 assists for the season, which is 2nd in the league in terms of passing. When they are on the defensive end, the Lynx are able to force 14.2 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.6 personal fouls. The Lynx are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.1% (71 of 98) and they concede 32.6 rebounds per game as a group. They are currently ranked 4th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 92 conceded on the year. They relinquish 33.1% on 3-pointers and they are 4th in the league in points per game from their opponents (77.4).

In their last game, the Phoenix Mercury walked away with a victory by a final of 94-89 when they played the Chicago Sky. The Mercury were able to corral 20 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 in this game. They also turned it over 9 times, while recording 11 steals in this game. The Sky were called for 21 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Mercury to the charity stripe for 19 attempts. They were able to knock down 12 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 63.2%. With respect to shots from beyond the perimeter, Phoenix made 16 out of 40 attempts (40.0%). When the final whistle was blown, the Mercury finished shooting 33 out of 78 from the field which had them at 42.3%. The Mercury permitted the Sky to convert 33 of their 71 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 46.5% in this game. They went 28.6% from three-point range by going 6 of 21 and walked away from this one shooting 17 out of 20 at the free throw line (85.0%). In the matter of rebounding, Phoenix allowed Chicago to collect 42 overall (11 offensive).

Satou Sabally pitched in for the Mercury in this game. She made 7 of 21 for this contest giving her a field goal percentage of 33.3%, and added 8 rebounds. Sabally racked up 20 points in her 33 mins of playing time and earned 3 dimes in the matchup.

Phoenix has a win-loss record of 4-1 this year. The Mercury are responsible for committing 20.2 personal fouls per game and they shoot 72.2% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 20.2 times per game (5th in the league) and they are turning it over 13.6 times per game. Phoenix has totaled 402 pts for the year (80.4 per contest) and they pull in 32.2 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Mercury are shooting 42.2% from the floor, which ranks them 8th in the WNBA. The Mercury on defense are ranked 1st in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 74.6. They are forcing 17.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 40.9% from the field (4th in the league). The Phoenix defense allows 27.5% on 3-pointers (30 of 109) and opponents are knocking down 80.2% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 19.2 assists and 35.8 total boards per game, which ranks them 7th and 8th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix

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