New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 8/1/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Friday, August 1, 2025

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: Youtube TV

The New York Liberty (17-9) go to Mohegan Sun Arena on Friday where they'll meet the Connecticut Sun (4-21).

The New York Liberty faced the Minnesota Lynx and took a loss by a score of 100-93 in their last game. New York finished having earned a 48.6% field goal percentage (35 of 72) and knocked down 10 out of their 28 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Liberty converted 13 of 18 tries for a rate of 72.2%. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they compiled 31 with 6 of them being offensive. They also doled out 23 assists for the contest in addition to forcing 10 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When discussing defense, New York allowed their opponent to shoot 49.3% from the field on 36 out of 73 shooting. Minnesota recorded 11 dimes and had 3 steals for the game. Moreover, Minnesota totaled 41 rebounds (11 offensive, 30 defensive) and added 7 blocked shots. Minnesota finished the game shooting 68.4% at the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of their 19 tries. They also made 15 of 31 attempts from downtown.

Sabrina Ionescu is someone who was a major factor in this matchup. She ended up scoring 31 points on 11 out of 20 shooting. She played 33 minutes and grabbed 5 rebounds. Ionescu went 55.0% from the floor and totaled 4 assists.

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New York comes into this game with a mark of 17-9 on the campaign. The Liberty are shooting 35.4% on shots from 3-point land (260 of 734) and 83.2% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 87.9 points per contest (1st in the league) while hitting 45.5% from the floor. They are turning it over 12.8 times per game and as a squad they commit 16.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, New York is pulling down 34.4 rebounds per game and has accumulated 569 dimes on the year, which ranks 3rd in basketball in terms of passing the ball. When they are on defense, the Liberty are able to force 14.0 turnovers per game and they draw 17.5 fouls. They rank 8th in the WNBA in giving up assists with 537 conceded on the season. The Liberty are allowing a FG percentage of 42.1% (364 of 454) and they surrender 36.2 rebounds per game as a squad. They are giving up 32.5% on 3-point shots while they are 8th in basketball in points per game from their opponents (81.4).

In their last game, the Connecticut Sun walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 101-85 against the Seattle Storm. The Sun snagged 23 defensive boards and 3 offensive rebounds totaling 26 in this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while getting 8 steals for this game. The Storm had 23 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Sun to the charity stripe for 26 tries. They were able to make 23 of the free throws for a rate of 88.5%. In regard to shots from 3-point land, Connecticut knocked down 8 of their 17 attempts (47.1%). At the conclusion of this game, the Sun finished the game shooting 27 for 67 from the floor which had them shooting 40.3%. The Sun allowed the Storm to convert 42 out of their 69 tries from the floor which had them shooting 60.9% in this game. They went 45.0% from beyond the perimeter via 9 of 20 and finished the contest at 8 of 10 at the charity stripe (80.0%). With respect to cleaning up the glass, Connecticut permitted Seattle to collect 37 in total (3 on the offensive glass).

Bria Hartley was important for the Sun in this matchup. She buried 4 of 12 in the game giving her a field goal percentage of 33.3%, and tallied 1 rebound. Hartley earned 17 points in her 30 minutes of playing time and accumulated 4 assists for the matchup.

Connecticut has a win-loss record of 4-21 for the campaign. The Sun have committed 20.5 fouls per contest and they connect on 81.5% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 16.9 times per game (13th in the league) and they turn it over 13.8 times per contest. Connecticut has tallied 1,865 pts this season (74.6 per game) and they pull in 30.9 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Sun are hitting on 40.4% from the field, which has them ranked 12th in the league. The Sun defensively are ranked 13th in the WNBA in PPG given up with 88.0. They are forcing 13.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 46.8% from the floor (13th in the league). The Connecticut defense concedes 34.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (217 of 621) and opponents are connecting on 78.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 21.5 dimes and 36.5 boards per game, which is ranked 11th and 13th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York

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