New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 8/3/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: WNBA League Pass

Mohegan Sun Arena is the site where and the Connecticut Sun (4-21) will take on the New York Liberty (17-9) on Sunday.

The New York Liberty stepped onto the hardwood against the Minnesota Lynx and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 100-93 in their last game. New York finished the contest having earned a 48.6% field goal percentage (35 out of 72) and knocked down 10 of their 28 shots from downtown. At the free throw line, the Liberty made 13 of their 18 tries for a rate of 72.2%. When it comes to pulling down boards, they earned 31 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 23 assists for the matchup while creating 10 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In the matter of the defense, New York allowed their opponent to shoot 49.3% from the field on 36 of 73 shooting. Minnesota earned 11 assists and had 3 steals in this contest. On top of that, Minnesota totaled 41 rebounds (11 offensive, 30 defensive) and had 7 blocks. Minnesota walked away from this one shooting 68.4% at the free throw line by burying 13 of their 19 attempts. They also converted 15 of 31 shots from 3-point land.

Sabrina Ionescu is a player who was a contributor in this matchup. She accumulated 31 points on 11 out of 20 shooting. She played 33 mins and also snagged 5 boards. Ionescu finished the contest at 55.0% from the floor and also totaled 4 assists.

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New York heads into this game with a mark of 17-9 on the campaign. They average 87.9 pts per game (1st in the league) while going 45.5% from the field. The Liberty are hitting 35.4% on shots from distance (260 of 734) and 83.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, New York is collecting 34.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 569 assists on the season, which is 3rd in the league in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 12.8 times per game and as a squad they are committing 16.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. On defense, the Liberty are able to force 14.0 turnovers per game while drawing 17.5 personal fouls. They are conceding 32.5% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 8th in the WNBA in points per game from their opponents (81.4). The Liberty defense is allowing a FG percentage of 42.1% (364 of 454) and they relinquish 36.2 rebounds per game as a squad. They currently rank 8th in basketball in giving up assists with 537 surrendered so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the Connecticut Sun took a defeat with a final score of 101-85 against the Seattle Storm. The Sun pulled down 23 defensive rebounds and 3 offensive rebounds for a total of 26 in the game. They also gave up possession 13 times, while getting 8 steals for the contest. The Storm earned 23 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Sun to the free throw line for a total of 26 attempts. They were able to bury 23 of them for a rate of 88.5%. When it comes to 3-point attempts, Connecticut made 8 of their 17 tries (47.1%). Overall, the Sun shot 27 for 67 from the floor which gave them a rate of 40.3%. The Sun allowed the Storm to bury 42 out of their 69 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 60.9% for this contest. They finished 45.0% from beyond the arc by connecting on 9 out of 20 and finished the contest at 8 out of 10 at the free throw line (80.0%). In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Connecticut permitted Seattle to get 37 overall (3 offensive).

Bria Hartley ended up having an impact for the Sun in this contest. She buried 4 out of 12 in this matchup giving her a field goal percentage of 33.3%, and had 1 rebound. Hartley scored 17 points in her 30 mins of playing time and had 4 dimes for the matchup.

Connecticut has a record of 4-21 so far this season. The Sun are committing 20.5 fouls per game and they go 81.5% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 16.9 times per game (13th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.8 times per contest. Connecticut has 1,865 pts so far this year (74.6 per game) and they average 30.9 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Sun are connecting on 40.4% from the floor, which has them ranked 12th in the league. The Sun on defense are ranked 13th in basketball in PPG allowed with 88.0. They have forced 13.4 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.8% from the floor (13th in the league). The Connecticut defense surrenders 34.9% on shots from behind the 3-point line (217 of 621) and opponents are converting on 78.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 21.5 assists and 36.5 total rebounds per game, ranking them 11th and 13th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Connecticut

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