New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 8/16/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Minnesota Lynx (27-5) host the New York Liberty (21-12) at Target Center on Saturday.

The New York Liberty took the court against the Las Vegas Aces and took a loss by a score of 83-77 in their last contest. New York wrapped up the contest having earned a 43.8% FG percentage (28 of 64) and buried 7 out of their 25 3-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Liberty buried 14 of 16 shots for a rate of 87.5%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they compiled a total of 30 with 6 of them being offensive. They also recorded 18 assists in the game while forcing 10 turnovers and having 5 steals. In regard to the defense, New York allowed the other team to shoot 38.5% from the floor on 25 out of 65 shooting. Las Vegas doled out 14 dimes and had 7 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, Las Vegas collected 39 boards (14 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 7 blocks. Las Vegas finished the contest at 82.1% from the free throw line by burying 23 of their 28 shots. They knocked down 10 out of their 29 tries from three-point range.

Emma Meesseman is one player who was a contributor for the contest. She ended up finishing with 24 points on 8 out of 15 shooting. She played for 32 minutes and also grabbed 10 boards. Meesseman finished the contest at 53.3% from the field and also recorded 3 dimes.

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New York comes into this game with a record of 21-12 so far this season. They turn it over 13.1 times per game and as a unit they are committing 16.5 personal fouls per game. As a team, New York is pulling in 34.0 rebounds per contest and has tallied 726 assists on the year, which ranks 2nd in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. The Liberty are hitting 35.5% on three-point shots (321 of 905) and 84.2% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 86.7 pts per contest (2nd in the league) while connecting on 45.6% from the floor. When they are on the defensive end, the Liberty are forcing their opponents into 13.4 turnovers per game and they draw 17.3 personal fouls. The Liberty defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.0% (443 of 572) and they surrender 36.4 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 8th in the league in allowing assists with 668 surrendered so far this season. They surrender 31.6% on 3-point shots and they rank 7th in the WNBA in PPG allowed (81.5).

When they last stepped on the court, the Minnesota Lynx went home victorious with a score of 83-71 against the New York Liberty. The Lynx were able to pull down 23 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 32 in the matchup. They also turned it over 10 times, while recording 11 steals for the contest. The Liberty were called for 8 fouls in the game which got the Lynx to the charity stripe for a total of 8 shots. They were able to bury 5 of them for a rate of 62.5%. In reference to three-point shots, Minnesota made 10 of their 21 attempts (47.6%). When this game wrapped up, the Lynx went 34 out of 70 from the floor which gave them a rate of 48.6%. The Lynx allowed the Liberty to knock down 28 out of their 66 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 42.4% for this game. They finished 33.3% from distance by going 8 of 24 and ended up shooting 7 of 9 at the charity stripe (77.8%). In the matter of attacking the glass, Minnesota allowed New York to pull down 33 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Kayla McBride ended up being a major contributor for the Lynx in this game. She converted 6 out of 12 in the matchup for a rate of 50.0%, and accumulated 1 rebound. McBride accumulated 18 points in her 34 mins on the hardwood and accumulated 2 dimes for the game.

Minnesota has a record of 27-5 on the season. Minnesota has scored 2,783 points for the campaign (87.0 per game) and they pull in 34.2 rebounds per game. The Lynx commit 16.4 fouls per contest while shooting 77.4% from the free throw line. As an offense, the Lynx are hitting on 47.1% from the field, which is 1st in basketball. They are earning an assist 23.9 times per contest (1st in the league) and they are turning it over 12.2 times per contest. The Lynx are ranked 1st in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 75.6. They are forcing their opponents into 14.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 41.9% from the floor (2nd in the league). The Minnesota defense surrenders 31.6% on shots from distance (235 of 743) and their opponents are converting on 77.5% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 18.6 dimes and 33.5 boards per contest, which has them ranked 1st and 5th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota

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