New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 6/27/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury
Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ
TV: WNBA League Pass
Footprint Center is the site where and the Phoenix Mercury (11-4) will play the New York Liberty (11-3) on Friday.
The New York Liberty faced the Golden State Valkyries and earned the victory with a final of 81-78 in their last game. New York finished with a 36.1% field goal percentage (26 of 72) and converted 12 of their 36 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Liberty converted 17 of their 19 shots for a percentage of 89.5%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 37 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 18 assists in the game as well as forcing 10 turnovers and having 5 steals. With respect to defending, New York allowed their opponent to shoot 38.9% from the floor on 28 out of 72 shooting. Golden State earned 10 dimes and had 5 steals for the matchup. Moreover, Golden State snagged 38 boards (10 offensive, 28 defensive) and got 3 rejections. Golden State finished the game at 83.3% from the free throw line by burying 10 of 12 attempts. They made 12 out of their 35 shots from 3-point range.

Breanna Stewart is someone who was a factor in this contest. She finished with 23 points on 9 of 19 shooting. She played 37 minutes played and collected 10 boards. Stewart finished the contest at 47.4% from the field and earned 3 assists.
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New York comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 11-3 for the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 13.2 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 17.6 fouls per game. As a unit, New York is snagging 35.7 rebounds per contest and has earned 302 assists on the year, which has them ranked 6th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. The Liberty are shooting 34.8% on 3-pointers (145 of 417) and 82.6% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 87.8 points per outing (1st in basketball) while hitting 45.6% from the floor. When they are on defense, the Liberty are forcing 14.6 turnovers per game while drawing 18.3 personal fouls. They are giving up 32.7% from 3-point land and they rank 3rd in the league in opponents points per game (77.3). The Liberty defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 39.4% (204 of 256) and they surrender 36.4 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 5th in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 271 conceded so far this year.
The last time they took the hardwood, the Phoenix Mercury got the victory with a final of 107-86 when they faced the Chicago Sky. The Mercury earned 22 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 for the game. They also gave up possession 19 times, while getting 13 steals in the matchup. The Sky had 20 fouls in this contest which took the Mercury to the free throw line for 24 shots. They were able to convert 20 of the free throws for a rate of 83.3%. When discussing 3-pointers, Phoenix buried 17 of their 35 tries (48.6%). Overall, the Mercury ended up shooting 35 for 68 from the floor which had them shooting 51.5%. The Mercury permitted the Sky to bury 30 of their 57 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 52.6% for the contest. They finished 34.8% from distance by shooting 8 out of 23 and finished the game at 18 out of 20 at the free throw line (90.0%). When it comes to how they attacked the glass, Phoenix permitted Chicago to collect 22 in total (4 on the offensive glass).
Sami Whitcomb ended up having an impact for the Mercury in this matchup. She buried 5 out of 10 for the contest for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and had 4 rebounds. Whitcomb racked up 17 points in her 25 minutes of playing time and accumulated 2 dimes in this matchup.
Phoenix has a win-loss record of 11-4 this year. As an offensive unit, the Mercury are connecting on 42.8% from the floor, which is ranked 7th in basketball. Phoenix has 1,234 points for the year (82.3 per contest) and they collect 33.8 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 20.2 times per contest (5th in the WNBA) and they are turning it over 13.4 times per game. The Mercury are committing 19.3 fouls per game while shooting 79.2% from the free throw line. The Mercury are ranked 4th in the league in PPG allowed with 78.2. They have conceded 19.3 dimes and 34.3 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 7th and 9th in the WNBA. The Phoenix defense gives up 31.7% on shots from 3-point land (117 of 369) and their opponents are converting on 80.8% of their foul shots. They have forced 16.8 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 42.2% from the field (5th in the WNBA).
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Phoenix
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Additional Resources:
Phoenix Mercury - Twitter
New York Liberty - Twitter