New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 8/30/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: WNBA League Pass

Footprint Center is the venue where and the Phoenix Mercury (23-14) will play the New York Liberty (23-15) on Saturday.

The New York Liberty faced the Connecticut Sun and earned the victory with a final of 81-79 in their last game. New York wrapped up the contest having earned a 50.0% FG percentage (29 out of 58) and converted 7 of their 18 shots from downtown. When they shot from the free throw line, the Liberty converted 16 of their 19 tries for a percentage of 84.2%. When discussing pulling down boards, they earned a total of 30 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 25 assists for the matchup while forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In the matter of defense, New York let their opponent shoot 42.3% from the field on 30 of 71 shooting. Connecticut distributed 12 dimes and had 7 steals for the contest. On top of that, Connecticut grabbed 34 boards (12 offensive, 22 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Connecticut ended up shooting 64.3% from the free throw line by burying 9 of their 14 tries. They also made 10 of their 21 attempts from downtown.

Breanna Stewart is a player who had an impact in the game. She ended up with 19 points on 4 out of 12 shooting. She was on the court for 21 mins played and also grabbed 5 rebounds. Stewart finished the contest at 33.3% from the field but had no assists when the game ended.

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New York heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 23-15 so far this season. They have an average of 85.6 pts per contest (3rd in the WNBA) while shooting 45.4% from the floor. The Liberty are connecting on 35.6% on shots from beyond the arc (371 of 1,043) and 83.6% from the charity stripe. As a unit, New York is pulling down 33.7 boards per contest and has accumulated 836 assists so far this year, which is 3rd in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 13.1 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 16.5 personal fouls per contest. On defense, the Liberty are forcing their opponents into 12.9 turnovers per game while drawing 17.0 personal fouls. The Liberty defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 42.2% (490 of 647) and they concede 36.5 rebounds per game as a unit. They rank 7th in the league in giving up assists with 751 relinquished this season. They are giving up 31.5% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 7th in the league in PPG allowed (81.5).

When they last stepped on the court, the Phoenix Mercury took home the win by a final score of 92-84 against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Mercury snagged 25 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 32 for the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 13 times, while getting 11 steals for the game. The Sparks committed 18 fouls for the game which got the Mercury to the charity stripe for a total of 18 attempts. They were able to knock down 15 of those for a rate of 83.3%. Regarding three-point attempts, Phoenix converted 11 of 25 attempts (44.0%). In all, the Mercury went 33 out of 69 from the floor which had them at 47.8%. The Mercury permitted the Sparks to make 31 out of 65 tries from the field which had them sitting at 47.7% in the game. They finished the game shooting 29.2% from three-point range by shooting 7 out of 24 and finished the game at 15 of 17 from the free throw line (88.2%). In regard to team rebounding, Phoenix permitted Los Angeles to collect 29 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Satou Sabally pitched in for the Mercury for the contest. She made 5 out of 10 for the game for a rate of 50.0%, and earned 3 rebounds. Sabally earned 19 points in her 34 mins on the court and accounted for 2 dimes for the contest.

Phoenix has a win-loss record of 23-14 for the year. As an offense, the Mercury are connecting on 43.4% from the floor, which ranks 8th in the WNBA. Phoenix has accounted for 3,077 pts so far this year (83.2 per game) and they snag 34.8 boards per game. They are earning an assist 20.8 times per game (6th in basketball) and they cough up possession 12.7 times per game. The Mercury are committing 18.1 fouls per game and they hit 79.1% from the charity stripe. The Mercury on defense are ranked 4th in the league in PPG surrendered with 80.1. They have forced 14.1 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 42.5% from the field (4th in the league). The Phoenix defense concedes 31.9% on shots from 3-point land (294 of 921) and opponents are knocking down 81.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 19.6 dimes and 34.9 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 6th and 9th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix

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