Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Prediction, 6/21/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky

Date: Saturday, June 21, 2025

Location: Wintrust Arena in Chicago, IL

TV: Youtube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (9-4) go to Wintrust Arena on Saturday where they'll meet the Chicago Sky (3-8).

The Phoenix Mercury stepped onto the hardwood against the Connecticut Sun and walked away with a win by a score of 83-75 in their last contest. Phoenix wrapped up the contest with a 40.6% field goal percentage (26 of 64) and knocked down 8 out of their 23 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Mercury converted 23 of 27 shots for a rate of 85.2%. In regard to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 41 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 18 dimes in the game while forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and earning 9 steals. In regard to the defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to shoot 36.8% from the field on 25 of 68 shooting. Connecticut doled out 11 assists and had 5 steals in this contest. On top of that, Connecticut grabbed 37 rebounds (11 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 5 blocks. Connecticut walked away from this one shooting 73.9% from the charity stripe by knocking down 17 of their 23 attempts. They converted 8 of 24 tries from downtown.

Lexi Held is someone who was a major contributor for this contest. She accumulated 14 points on 5 out of 6 shooting. She played for 20 minutes and also snagged 2 boards. Held walked away from this one shooting 83.3% from the field but had no assists at the end of the game.

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Phoenix comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 9-4 on the season. They lose possession via turnover 13.0 times per game and as a unit they commit 19.4 fouls per game. As a team, Phoenix is snagging 33.2 rebounds per game and has earned 256 assists for the year, which is 3rd in the league in terms of passing. The Mercury are hitting 32.9% from downtown (125 of 380) and 78.5% from the free throw line. They have an average of 79.8 points per contest (8th in basketball) while going 42.2% from the floor. On the defensive end, the Mercury are forcing 16.4 turnovers per game while drawing 17.1 personal fouls. They are giving up 31.6% from beyond the arc and they are 5th in the league in opponents PPG (77.4). The Mercury defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 41.5% (213 of 222) and they relinquish 35.4 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are currently ranked 10th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 249 conceded on the year.

In their last game, the Chicago Sky went home defeated by a final of 79-72 against the Washington Mystics. The Sky recorded 22 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 31 for the game. They also turned the ball over 22 times, while getting 10 steals for this game. The Mystics had 17 fouls in this matchup which took the Sky to the free throw line for a total of 13 attempts. They were able to knock down 9 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 69.2%. When discussing shots from 3-point land, Chicago converted 3 of their 10 tries (30.0%). Overall, the Sky finished shooting 30 for 61 from the floor which gave them a rate of 49.2%. The Sky allowed the Mystics to make 29 of 64 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 45.3% in the game. They shot 46.7% from three-point range by connecting on 7 of 15 and finished the game at 14 of 22 at the charity stripe (63.6%). Concerning attacking the glass, Chicago permitted Washington to collect 32 in total (12 on the offensive glass).

Kamilla Cardoso ended up having an impact for the Sky in this matchup. She knocked down 8 out of 13 for the game for a rate of 61.5%, and totaled 10 rebounds. Cardoso had 18 points in her 29 mins on the hardwood and accounted for 1 assist for this contest.

Chicago has a win-loss mark of 3-8 on the season. The Sky are committing 18.3 fouls per contest and they shoot 71.6% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 19.4 times per game (7th in the WNBA) and they turn it over 17.1 times per contest. Chicago has totaled 828 points on the season (75.3 per game) and they average 36.3 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Sky are hitting on 41.2% from the floor, which ranks 10th in basketball. The Sky on the defensive side of the court are 10th in the league in points allowed per contest with 86.3. The Chicago defense allows 39.1% on 3-point attempts (113 of 289) and their opponents are making 73.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 21.1 dimes and 32.9 total boards per game, which ranks them 10th and 3rd in basketball. They are able to force 12.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.0% from the floor (12th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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