Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky Prediction, 8/3/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky

Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025

Location: Wintrust Arena in Chicago, IL

TV: Youtube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (16-10) are headed to Wintrust Arena on Sunday where they'll meet the Chicago Sky (7-19).

The Phoenix Mercury played the Indiana Fever and took a loss by a final of 107-101 in their last contest. Phoenix wrapped up the game having earned a 49.3% field goal percentage (36 out of 73) and buried 7 out of their 21 shots from distance. At the free throw line, the Mercury made 22 of their 26 tries for a rate of 84.6%. When discussing getting rebounds, they compiled 31 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 18 dimes in the game in addition to forcing 16 turnovers and having 9 steals. In regard to defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to shoot 51.6% from the field on 32 of 62 shooting. Indiana distributed 6 assists and had 8 steals in this contest. Additionally, Indiana snagged 33 rebounds (6 offensive, 27 defensive) and earned 2 rejections. Indiana finished the game shooting 84.2% when shooting free throws by converting 32 of 38 shots. They converted 11 out of their 24 tries from beyond the perimeter.

Alyssa Thomas is a player who came through for the matchup. She totaled 32 points on 14 out of 22 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 34 mins and snagged 15 rebounds. Thomas ended up going 63.6% from the floor and also totaled 7 assists.

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Phoenix enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 16-10 on the campaign. They cough up possession 12.7 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 19.1 fouls per game. As a unit, Phoenix is pulling in 34.0 rebounds per contest and has racked up 543 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 7th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. The Mercury are hitting 33.8% on shots from downtown (249 of 737) and 77.7% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 83.8 points per game (5th in the WNBA) while hitting 43.5% from the floor. When they are on defense, the Mercury are forcing their opponents into 15.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.3 personal fouls. They are 6th in the WNBA in allowing assists with 514 surrendered on the campaign. The Mercury defense is allowing a FG percentage of 42.7% (403 of 449) and they concede 35.2 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are giving up 33.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 6th in the league in opponents points per game (80.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Chicago Sky walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 103-86 against the Washington Mystics. The Sky were able to collect 26 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards for a total of 37 in this contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while earning 8 steals for this contest. The Mystics earned 17 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Sky to the free throw line for 18 attempts. They were able to make 16 of the free throws for a clip of 88.9%. In relation to shots from beyond the perimeter, Chicago made 6 of 19 attempts (31.6%). When the final whistle was blown, the Sky went 32 for 71 from the floor which had them shooting 45.1%. The Sky permitted the Mystics to convert 36 out of 71 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.7% in this contest. They wrapped up this game 41.7% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 10 out of 24 and ended up shooting 21 out of 27 from the free throw line (77.8%). In the matter of how they rebounded, Chicago allowed Washington to snag 32 in total (9 offensive).

Angel Reese ended up being important for the Sky for this game. She knocked down 6 out of 16 for the matchup giving her a rate of 37.5%, and had 13 rebounds. Reese scored 22 points in her 32 mins on the court and totaled 3 dimes for the matchup.

Chicago has a mark of 7-19 on the campaign. In terms of offensive execution, the Sky are connecting on 41.9% from the floor, which has them ranked 11th in the WNBA. Chicago has accumulated 2,005 points on the campaign (77.1 per game) and they average 36.2 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 18.7 times per game (10th in the WNBA) and they are giving up possession 15.9 times per contest. The Sky have committed 18.9 personal fouls per game and they shoot 77.5% from the charity stripe. The Sky on the defensive end are ranked 12th in the WNBA in PPG allowed with 87.7. They are forcing 11.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.2% from the floor (12th in the league). The Chicago defense gives up 37.2% on 3-point shots (260 of 698) and their opposition makes 74.5% of their free throw shots. They concede 21.7 dimes and 33.7 total rebounds per game, which is 12th and 6th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Phoenix

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