Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 6/18/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: Youtube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (8-4) are headed to Mohegan Sun Arena on Wednesday where they'll meet the Connecticut Sun (2-8).

The Phoenix Mercury stepped onto the hardwood against the Las Vegas Aces and went home with a win by a final score of 76-70 in their last contest. Phoenix ended the contest having earned a 38.4% FG percentage (28 out of 73) and knocked down 9 of their 32 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Mercury made 11 of their 12 shots for a rate of 91.7%. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 36 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 22 assists for the contest in addition to forcing 19 turnovers and getting 10 steals. When talking about defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 35.9% from the floor on 23 of 64 shooting. Las Vegas distributed 11 assists and had 6 steals in the game. Moreover, Las Vegas collected 38 boards (11 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 4 blocks. Las Vegas finished the game at 93.8% from the free throw line by burying 15 of 16 shots. They also converted 9 of 28 shots from distance.

Satou Sabally is one player who was a major contributor in this game. She finished with 22 points on 6 of 15 shooting. She was on the court for 30 mins and snagged 9 boards. Sabally shot 40.0% from the field and also recorded 3 dimes.

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Phoenix steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 8-4 so far this year. They currently have an average of 79.6 pts per contest (9th in the league) while hitting 42.3% from the floor. The Mercury are hitting 32.8% on shots from 3-point land (117 of 357) and 77.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, Phoenix is snagging 32.5 rebounds per game and is sitting with 238 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 3rd in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They are losing possession via turnover 13.1 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.3 fouls per contest. On defense, the Mercury are forcing their opponents into 16.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.0 fouls. The Mercury defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 41.9% (200 of 204) and they concede 35.3 boards per contest as a team. They are currently ranked 11th in the WNBA in allowing assists with 229 relinquished for the season. They surrender 31.4% from beyond the arc while they are 4th in the WNBA in PPG allowed (77.6).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Connecticut Sun took a defeat with a final score of 78-66 against the Chicago Sky. The Sun were able to collect 22 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in this contest. They turned the ball over 12 times, while recording 9 steals for the matchup. The Sky were called for 14 personal fouls in this contest which got the Sun to the charity stripe for a total of 12 shots. They were able to knock down 8 of them for a clip of 66.7%. When talking about three-point shots, Connecticut converted 8 of 22 tries (36.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Sun went 25 out of 64 from the field which had them sitting at 39.1%. The Sun allowed the Sky to make 27 of their 63 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 42.9% in this matchup. They finished shooting 35.0% from distance by connecting on 7 out of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 17 out of 18 at the free throw line (94.4%). With respect to cleaning up the glass, Connecticut allowed Chicago to grab 38 in all (7 offensive).

Marina Mabrey ended up being a major contributor for the Sun for the matchup. She made 7 of 17 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 41.2%, and tallied 5 rebounds. Mabrey recorded 22 points in her 39 mins of playing time and totaled 3 dimes for the game.

Connecticut has a mark of 2-8 on the season. Connecticut has 713 points so far this year (71.3 per contest) and they collect 30.0 boards per game. The Sun have committed 21.4 personal fouls per game and they hit 78.9% from the free throw line. On the offensive side of the ball, the Sun are shooting 40.6% from the field, which ranks them 10th in the league. They are dishing out assists 16.8 times per game (12th in the league) and they cough up possession 14.9 times per contest. The Sun on the defensive end are ranked 12th in the league in PPG given up with 88.2. The Connecticut defense surrenders 38.0% on 3-point shots (89 of 234) and opponents are making 79.4% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 21.2 assists and 35.7 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 11th and 11th in the league. They are forcing 13.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.5% from the field (13th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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