Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction, 9/11/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings

Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025

Location: College Park Center in Arlington, TX

TV: Youtube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (27-16) travel to College Park Center on Thursday where they'll meet the Dallas Wings (9-34).

The Phoenix Mercury faced off with the Los Angeles Sparks and took a loss by a score of 88-83 in their last game. Phoenix ended having earned a 41.7% field goal percentage (30 out of 72) and converted 10 of their 30 3-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Mercury made 13 of their 17 attempts for a rate of 76.5%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they earned 39 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 20 assists in this contest as well as forcing 9 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Concerning defending, Phoenix let their opponent shoot 42.0% from the field on 29 out of 69 shooting. Los Angeles earned 9 assists and had 7 steals for the game. On top of that, Los Angeles had 35 boards (9 offensive, 26 defensive) and got 4 blocks. Los Angeles ended up going 84.0% at the free throw line by making 21 of 25 tries. They also converted 9 out of their 31 shots from distance.

Satou Sabally is one player who came through for the game. She accumulated 24 points on 9 out of 14 shooting. She played 25 mins played and also totaled 5 boards. Sabally finished 64.3% from the field and also dished out 1 assist.

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Phoenix steps onto the hardwood with a record of 27-16 on the season. The Mercury are shooting 33.8% on 3-pointers (402 of 1,189) and 78.6% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 83.0 points per outing (7th in the league) while shooting 43.3% from the floor. They are turning it over 12.4 times per contest and as a squad they commit 17.8 fouls per contest. As a team, Phoenix is collecting 34.8 boards per game and is sitting with 901 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 6th in the league in terms of passing the rock. When they are on the defensive end, the Mercury have forced 14.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.5 fouls. They are giving up 32.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 4th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (79.7). The Mercury are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.5% (600 of 710) and they relinquish 35.2 rebounds per game as a squad. They are currently ranked 4th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 844 conceded for the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Dallas Wings took a defeat with a final score of 91-77 against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Wings snagged 36 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 46 for the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 15 times, while getting 4 steals for the contest. The Sparks had 14 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Wings to the charity stripe for 17 attempts. They were able to make 16 of those for a percentage of 94.1%. In relation to shots from 3-point land, Dallas buried 5 of 23 tries (21.7%). Overall, the Wings shot 28 for 72 from the field which had them at 38.9%. The Wings permitted the Sparks to convert 34 out of their 84 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 40.5% in the matchup. They wrapped up this game 30.3% from downtown by shooting 10 out of 33 and ended up going 13 of 20 at the charity stripe (65.0%). When it comes to rebounds, Dallas permitted Los Angeles to get 41 in total (10 on the offensive glass).

Paige Bueckers ended up being a factor for the Wings for the matchup. She converted 6 out of 8 for the game giving her a rate of 75.0%, and had 6 rebounds. Bueckers had 18 points in her 31 mins of playing time and had 7 assists in this matchup.

Dallas has a win-loss mark of 9-34 on the campaign. Dallas has accounted for 3,497 points for the year (81.3 per contest) and they average 35.2 rebounds per game. The Wings have committed 19.1 fouls per game while shooting 80.5% from the free throw line. As an offense, the Wings are shooting 42.1% from the field, which has them ranked 11th in the WNBA. They are dishing out assists 20.1 times per game (8th in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.9 times per game. The Wings on the defensive side of the court are 13th in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 88.3. They are forcing 12.5 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.0% from the field (12th in basketball). The Dallas defense allows 38.7% on 3-point shots (410 of 1,060) and their opponents are making 78.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 23.0 assists and 34.7 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 13th and 8th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Phoenix

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