Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 7/14/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Monday, July 14, 2025

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: Youtube TV

Chase Center is the venue where and the Golden State Valkyries (10-9) will take on the Phoenix Mercury (14-6) on Monday.

The Phoenix Mercury took the court against the Minnesota Lynx and went home with a win by a final score of 79-71 in their last contest. Phoenix walked away from the game with a 46.6% field goal percentage (34 of 73) and buried 1 of their 16 3-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Mercury knocked down 10 of their 10 shots for a rate of 100.0%. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 35 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 17 assists in this contest while forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When talking about the defense, Phoenix let their opponent shoot 42.9% from the floor on 30 out of 70 shooting. Minnesota earned 10 assists and had 5 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, Minnesota grabbed 36 rebounds (10 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 2 blocks. Minnesota finished the game shooting 100.0% from the free throw line by knocking down 5 of their 5 attempts. They knocked down 6 out of their 23 attempts from three-point range.

Alyssa Thomas is one player who had an impact for this game. She scored 29 points on 14 of 24 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 34 mins and snagged 8 rebounds. Thomas went 58.3% from the field and also totaled 5 assists.

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Phoenix steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss mark of 14-6 so far this year. They average 84.6 points per contest (3rd in the WNBA) while connecting on 43.5% from the field. The Mercury are hitting 34.5% from downtown (200 of 580) and 79.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Phoenix is collecting 34.1 boards per contest and has tallied 419 dimes this season, which ranks 3rd in basketball in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 12.6 times per game and as a unit they commit 19.0 fouls on a nightly basis. On the defensive end of the court, the Mercury are able to force 16.2 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.2 fouls. They are currently ranked 7th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 384 conceded on the year. The Mercury defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 42.7% (324 of 344) and they relinquish 34.9 boards per game as a basketball team. They are relinquishing 32.1% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 5th in the WNBA in opponents PPG (79.5).

The last time they took the court, the Golden State Valkyries got the victory with a final of 80-61 when they faced the Indiana Fever. The Valkyries collected 36 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 47 for the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 16 times, while recording 7 steals in this game. The Fever had 16 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Valkyries to the free throw line for a total of 21 tries. They were able to make 16 of those for a rate of 76.2%. In relation to shots from beyond the perimeter, Golden State made 12 out of their 32 tries (37.5%). Overall, the Valkyries ended up shooting 26 for 70 from the field which gave them a percentage of 37.1%. The Valkyries allowed the Fever to knock down 21 of 68 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 30.9% in the game. They finished 22.2% from 3-point land by connecting on 6 of 27 and finished the game at 13 out of 14 at the free throw line (92.9%). When it comes to rebounding, Golden State allowed Indiana to grab 36 in total (7 on the offensive glass).

Veronica Burton pitched in for the Valkyries in this game. She knocked down 6 of 11 in the game for a field goal rate of 54.5%, and had 8 rebounds. Burton racked up 21 points in her 34 mins on the court and accounted for 6 dimes for this contest.

Golden State has a win-loss mark of 10-9 so far this season. In terms of offensive execution, the Valkyries are shooting 40.4% from the floor, which is 12th in the league. Golden State has earned 1,504 pts on the campaign (79.2 per game) and they average 37.4 rebounds per contest. They are getting an assist 18.2 times per contest (10th in the WNBA) and they are giving up possession 14.2 times per contest. The Valkyries commit 18.3 fouls per contest and they go 79.1% from the charity stripe. The Valkyries are ranked 2nd in the league in points allowed per game with 77.3. They have surrendered 18.9 dimes and 34.4 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 5th and 8th in the WNBA. The Golden State defense concedes 32.8% on shots from beyond the arc (173 of 528) and their opponents are connecting on 79.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are able to force 12.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 39.4% from the field (1st in the WNBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Golden State

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