Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 8/19/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: Youtube TV

Chase Center is the site where and the Golden State Valkyries (18-16) will play the Phoenix Mercury (20-13) on Tuesday.

The Phoenix Mercury faced off with the Seattle Storm and took home the win by a score of 85-82 in their last game. Phoenix ended the game with a 48.4% FG percentage (31 of 64) and converted 8 of 26 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Mercury converted 15 of 18 attempts for a percentage of 83.3%. In reference to getting rebounds, they collected a total of 34 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 21 assists for the game as well as creating 12 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When it comes to defense, Phoenix allowed 47.2% from the floor on 34 of 72 shooting. Seattle earned 3 dimes and had 9 steals for the matchup. Additionally, Seattle pulled down 30 rebounds (3 offensive, 27 defensive) and added 3 blocks. Seattle ended up going 76.9% when shooting free throws by burying 10 of 13 attempts. They converted 4 out of their 22 tries from 3-point range.

Alyssa Thomas is a player who was a major contributor in the matchup. She scored 19 points on 7 of 12 shooting. She played 37 mins played and also grabbed 10 rebounds. Thomas shot 58.3% from the floor and also distributed 11 assists.

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Phoenix heads into this contest with a record of 20-13 for the campaign. The Mercury are connecting on 33.4% on three-point shots (302 of 903) and 78.8% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 83.2 pts per game (6th in basketball) while hitting 43.4% from the floor. They are losing possession via turnover 12.7 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.5 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Phoenix is pulling in 34.5 boards per game and has earned 684 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 8th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. On the defensive end of the court, the Mercury are forcing 14.9 turnovers per game and they draw 16.9 fouls. The Mercury are allowing a shooting percentage of 42.4% (492 of 559) and they relinquish 35.4 rebounds per game as a squad. They rank 3rd in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 648 relinquished on the campaign. They give up 32.3% from beyond the arc and they are 4th in the league in PPG allowed (79.8).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Golden State Valkyries took a loss by a score of 79-63 against the Atlanta Dream. The Valkyries pulled down 22 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 27 in this game. They gave up possession 8 times, while recording 6 steals for the game. The Dream committed 16 fouls in the matchup which took the Valkyries to the free throw line for 16 tries. They were able to make 14 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 87.5%. With respect to shots from downtown, Golden State knocked down 7 out of 29 attempts (24.1%). When this game wrapped up, the Valkyries finished the game shooting 21 for 60 from the floor which had them at 35.0%. The Valkyries allowed the Dream to make 28 out of their 68 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 41.2% for the game. They finished the game shooting 25.7% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 9 of 35 and finished the contest at 14 out of 16 at the free throw line (87.5%). In regard to cleaning the glass, Golden State permitted Atlanta to collect 38 in total (9 on the offensive glass).

Veronica Burton ended up having an impact for the Valkyries for the contest. She converted 4 out of 10 for the game for a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and accounted for 1 rebound. Burton recorded 16 points in her 31 minutes of playing time and had 5 dimes in the matchup.

Golden State has a mark of 18-16 this season. Golden State has accumulated 2,645 points on the campaign (77.8 per contest) and they grab 35.4 boards per contest. The Valkyries are committing 18.1 fouls per contest and they hit 81.2% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Valkyries are shooting 40.4% from the floor, which is ranked 13th in the league. They are assisting teammates 18.3 times per game (12th in the WNBA) and they turn it over 13.1 times per contest. The Valkyries on the defensive end are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 76.8. The Golden State defense concedes 31.8% on shots from beyond the arc (303 of 953) and opponents are converting on 78.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 19.1 dimes and 33.5 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 4th and 6th in the WNBA. They are forcing their opponents into 12.1 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 40.5% from the field (1st in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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