Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction, 7/30/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever

Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Indiana Fever (14-12) host the Phoenix Mercury (16-9) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday.

The Phoenix Mercury faced the Washington Mystics and went home with a win by a final score of 88-72 in their last game. Phoenix ended the game with a 51.5% FG percentage (35 of 68) and buried 5 out of their 21 3-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Mercury knocked down 13 of 14 shots for a percentage of 92.9%. Regarding hauling in rebounds, they earned a total of 33 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 22 assists in this matchup while creating 17 turnovers and getting 10 steals. With respect to defense, Phoenix let their opponent shoot 38.1% from the field on 24 out of 63 shooting. Washington recorded 9 assists and had 8 steals in this contest. Additionally, Washington grabbed 32 rebounds (9 offensive, 23 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Washington walked away from this one shooting 86.4% from the free throw line by knocking down 19 of their 22 attempts. They knocked down 5 of their 16 tries from 3-point land.

Alyssa Thomas is a player who was a factor for the game. She left the arena with 27 points on 12 out of 17 shooting. She played for 33 minutes and pulled down 11 rebounds. Thomas went 70.6% from the floor and totaled 8 assists.

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Phoenix steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss mark of 16-9 this season. They lose possession via turnover 12.5 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 18.7 fouls per game. As a team, Phoenix is snagging 34.2 boards per game and has accumulated 525 assists on the campaign, which is 4th in the WNBA in terms of passing. The Mercury are connecting on 33.8% on 3-point shots (242 of 716) and 77.3% from the free throw line. They have an average of 83.1 pts per contest (6th in the league) while shooting 43.3% from the field. When they are on the defensive end, the Mercury are able to force 15.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.9 personal fouls. They are ranked 8th in basketball in giving up assists with 495 relinquished on the year. The Mercury are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.4% (387 of 423) and they surrender 35.3 boards per contest as a squad. They are conceding 33.4% from beyond the arc while they are 5th in basketball in opponents points per game (79.8).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Indiana Fever walked away with a victory by a final of 93-78 when they faced the Chicago Sky. The Fever were able to snag 22 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 29 in the matchup. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while recording 15 steals in this contest. The Sky committed 18 fouls in this game which took the Fever to the free throw line for a total of 16 attempts. They were able to bury 16 of them for a percentage of 100.0%. When talking about three-point attempts, Indiana converted 11 of 29 attempts (37.9%). Overall, the Fever shot 33 out of 70 from the field which had them sitting at 47.1%. The Fever permitted the Sky to knock down 28 out of their 65 tries from the field which had them at 43.1% for the matchup. They went 40.0% from distance by hitting 10 out of 25 and finished the contest at 12 of 14 at the charity stripe (85.7%). When talking about rebounding, Indiana permitted Chicago to get 32 in all (7 on the offensive glass).

Kelsey Mitchell ended up having an impact for the Fever for this contest. She converted 12 out of 19 in the game giving her a field goal percentage of 63.2%, and added 2 rebounds. Mitchell scored 35 points in her 30 mins on the court and accumulated 6 assists in the matchup.

Indiana has a win-loss record of 14-12 so far this season. Indiana has accounted for 2,194 points so far this season (84.4 per game) and they pull down 33.7 boards per game. The Fever commit 19.3 fouls per contest and they shoot 77.1% from the free throw line. When it comes to offense, the Fever are hitting on 45.4% from the field, which ranks them 4th in the WNBA. They are dishing out assists 20.2 times per contest (7th in the league) and they turn the ball over 12.9 times per game. The Fever on the defensive side of the court are 8th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 80.4. They are able to force 13.8 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.0% from the floor (8th in basketball). The Indiana defense concedes 31.5% on 3-pointers (185 of 588) and opponents are knocking down 77.7% of their foul shots. They give up 18.2 assists and 33.2 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 2nd and 4th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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