Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, 6/19/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty

Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: WNBA League Pass

The New York Liberty (10-1) play the Phoenix Mercury (8-4) at Barclays Center on Thursday.

The Phoenix Mercury took the court against the Las Vegas Aces and went home with a win by a final score of 76-70 in their last contest. Phoenix finished the contest with a 38.4% FG percentage (28 of 73) and made 9 out of their 32 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Mercury made 11 of 12 attempts for a rate of 91.7%. Regarding getting rebounds, they earned 36 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 22 dimes for the contest in addition to forcing 19 turnovers and earning 10 steals. With respect to defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 35.9% from the floor on 23 of 64 shooting. Las Vegas earned 11 dimes and had 6 steals for the contest. In addition, Las Vegas snagged 38 boards (11 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 4 blocked shots. Las Vegas finished the game shooting 93.8% when shooting free throws by making 15 of their 16 attempts. They also knocked down 9 of 28 tries from three-point range.

Satou Sabally is one player who came through in this matchup. She ended up with 22 points on 6 of 15 shooting. She played for 30 mins and collected 9 boards. Sabally went 40.0% from the floor and recorded 3 dimes.

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Phoenix comes into this game with a record of 8-4 for the campaign. They cough up possession 13.1 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 19.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Phoenix is snagging 32.5 boards per game and is sitting with 238 dimes so far this year, which is 7th in basketball in terms of passing. The Mercury are connecting on 32.8% on shots from 3-point land (117 of 357) and 77.6% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 79.6 points per contest (8th in basketball) while going 42.3% from the floor. Defensively, the Mercury are able to force 16.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.0 personal fouls. They surrender 31.4% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 5th in the league in opponents PPG (77.6). The Mercury defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.9% (200 of 204) and they concede 35.3 rebounds per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 8th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 229 relinquished for the year.

The last time they took the court, the New York Liberty walked away with a victory by a final of 86-81 against the Atlanta Dream. The Liberty were able to corral 28 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 37 for this game. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while getting 8 steals in this contest. The Dream had 17 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Liberty to the free throw line for a total of 20 shots. They were able to bury 17 of the free throws for a clip of 85.0%. When discussing shots from beyond the perimeter, New York made 7 of their 22 attempts (31.8%). Overall, the Liberty shot 31 for 71 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.7%. The Liberty permitted the Dream to convert 29 out of 67 tries from the floor which had them shooting 43.3% for the matchup. They finished 42.9% from 3-point land by shooting 12 of 28 and ended up going 11 out of 11 at the free throw line (100.0%). In the matter of cleaning up the glass, New York permitted Atlanta to collect 31 overall (7 on the offensive glass).

Sabrina Ionescu ended up being important for the Liberty for this contest. She made 12 of 20 for this game for a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and had 7 rebounds. Ionescu had 34 points in her 38 mins on the court and accounted for 5 dimes in this contest.

New York has a win-loss mark of 10-1 on the season. New York has tallied 988 points so far this season (89.8 per game) and they average 35.6 rebounds per game. The Liberty commit 17.6 fouls per contest and they connect on 81.1% from the free throw line. As an offensive unit, the Liberty are connecting on 46.9% from the floor, which has them ranked 2nd in the league. They are dishing out assists 22.2 times per game (3rd in the league) and they are turning it over 12.5 times per game. The Liberty are ranked 2nd in the league in points given up per game with 75.1. The New York defense allows 33.8% on 3-point attempts (100 of 296) and opponents are making 72.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 18.6 dimes and 36.2 total boards per game, which ranks them 5th and 12th in basketball. They are able to force 15.5 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 38.8% from the floor (1st in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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