Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, 7/25/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty

Date: Friday, July 25, 2025

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: Youtube TV

The New York Liberty (16-6) host the Phoenix Mercury (15-7) at Barclays Center on Friday.

The Phoenix Mercury played the Atlanta Dream and went home with a loss by a final score of 90-79 in their last contest. Phoenix ended the game with a 38.8% FG percentage (26 out of 67) and buried 11 of their 30 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mercury made 16 of 21 shots for a rate of 76.2%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 32 with 5 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 18 assists in this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Regarding defense, Phoenix allowed 50.0% from the floor on 34 out of 68 shooting. Atlanta earned 4 assists and had 5 steals for the matchup. On top of that, Atlanta pulled down 36 rebounds (4 offensive, 32 defensive) and had 4 blocks. Atlanta finished shooting 80.0% at the charity stripe by converting 12 of their 15 tries. They also made 10 of 24 shots from beyond the arc.

DeWanna Bonner is a player who was a factor for this contest. She finished with 18 points on 5 out of 11 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 25 mins played and also totaled 2 boards. Bonner went 45.5% from the field and totaled 1 assist.

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Phoenix comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 15-7 on the season. They cough up possession 12.6 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 18.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Phoenix is grabbing 34.4 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 463 dimes this year, which ranks 8th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Mercury are shooting 34.5% on shots from downtown (219 of 635) and 77.6% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 83.4 points per outing (5th in the WNBA) while shooting 43.3% from the field. On defense, the Mercury are able to force 15.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.0 personal fouls. The Mercury are giving up a FG percentage of 42.2% (346 of 375) and they surrender 35.4 rebounds per contest as a group. They are currently ranked 2nd in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 429 surrendered so far this season. They are relinquishing 33.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 6th in the league in points per game allowed (79.3).

For their last game, the New York Liberty took home the win by a final score of 98-84 when they played the Indiana Fever. The Liberty snagged 30 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive boards for a total of 34 for the matchup. They coughed it up 19 times, while getting 9 steals for the matchup. The Fever had 22 personal fouls in the game which got the Liberty to the free throw line for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to bury 20 of those for a percentage of 95.2%. When discussing shots from beyond the perimeter, New York buried 12 of their 22 attempts (54.5%). When this game wrapped up, the Liberty went 33 out of 64 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.6%. The Liberty allowed the Fever to bury 31 of their 74 attempts from the field which had them shooting 41.9% for the game. They shot 30.3% from distance by going 10 out of 33 and finished the game at 12 of 14 at the charity stripe (85.7%). When discussing rebounding, New York permitted Indiana to collect 30 overall (6 offensive).

Jonquel Jones ended up having an impact for the Liberty for this game. She buried 5 out of 13 for this contest for a field goal rate of 38.5%, and earned 9 rebounds. Jones scored 18 points in her 23 mins on the court and had 2 dimes for this contest.

New York has a win-loss record of 16-6 this season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Liberty are connecting on 45.4% from the field, which ranks them 3rd in the WNBA. New York has accounted for 1,922 points for the campaign (87.4 per game) and they average 34.6 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 21.8 times per game (2nd in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.0 times per game. The Liberty have committed 16.9 fouls per game while shooting 83.0% from the charity stripe. The Liberty on the defensive end are ranked 7th in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 79.4. They are able to force 14.5 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 41.2% from the field (3rd in the league). The New York defense allows 31.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (191 of 598) and their opponents are making 74.1% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 19.8 dimes and 36.0 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 8th and 11th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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