Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 7/27/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Washington Mystics (11-12) play the Phoenix Mercury (15-8) at CareFirst Arena on Sunday.

The Phoenix Mercury stepped onto the hardwood against the Atlanta Dream and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 90-79 in their last contest. Phoenix finished the game with a 38.8% field goal percentage (26 of 67) and knocked down 11 of 30 shots from distance. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mercury buried 16 of 21 tries for a rate of 76.2%. When it comes to rebounding, they compiled a total of 32 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 18 dimes in this matchup while creating 8 turnovers and getting 5 steals. Concerning the defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to shoot 50.0% from the field on 34 of 68 shooting. Atlanta distributed 4 dimes and had 5 steals for the matchup. Additionally, Atlanta totaled 36 boards (4 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 4 blocked shots. Atlanta ended up shooting 80.0% from the free throw line by knocking down 12 of their 15 tries. They also made 10 of 24 shots from beyond the perimeter.

DeWanna Bonner is one player who was a contributor in this game. She accumulated 18 points on 5 out of 11 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 25 minutes and grabbed 2 boards. Bonner went 45.5% from the field and also earned 1 assist.

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Phoenix heads into this game with a record of 15-8 on the year. The Mercury are connecting on 34.6% on 3-pointers (230 of 665) and 77.5% from the free throw line. They have an average of 83.2 pts per contest (6th in the league) on 43.1% from the floor. They are turning it over 12.4 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.7 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Phoenix is pulling in 34.3 boards per game and is sitting with 481 dimes for the year, which has them ranked 7th in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. On defense, the Mercury are able to force 15.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.0 fouls. The Mercury defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 42.6% (354 of 390) and they concede 35.4 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are ranked 6th in the league in giving up assists with 454 surrendered for the season. They are relinquishing 33.6% from beyond the arc while they are 6th in basketball in points per game allowed (79.8).

In their last game, the Washington Mystics took a loss by a final score of 93-86 against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Mystics were able to pull down 19 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 26 in this game. They gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while recording 9 steals in the matchup. The Sparks committed 20 fouls for the contest which took the Mystics to the charity stripe for a total of 25 tries. They were able to knock down 19 of those for a rate of 76.0%. Concerning 3-point shots, Washington buried 7 of 14 tries (50.0%). At the conclusion of this game, the Mystics went 30 out of 61 from the field which gave them a rate of 49.2%. The Mystics allowed the Sparks to knock down 35 of 68 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 51.5% for this game. They finished 41.9% from beyond the arc by shooting 13 out of 31 and finished the contest at 10 out of 14 at the free throw line (71.4%). When discussing rebounding, Washington allowed Los Angeles to snag 33 in all (11 offensive).

Brittney Sykes was important for the Mystics for the contest. She made 7 of 16 for the matchup for a rate of 43.8%, and added 3 rebounds. Sykes accumulated 18 points in her 33 minutes on the court and totaled 5 assists for this game.

Washington has a win-loss mark of 11-12 this year. Washington has scored 1,812 points so far this year (78.8 per contest) and they collect 35.1 boards per game. The Mystics are responsible for committing 19.7 personal fouls per game and they shoot 74.1% from the free throw line. As an offensive team, the Mystics are connecting on 43.3% from the floor, which has them ranked 6th in the WNBA. They are dishing out assists 18.4 times per contest (11th in the WNBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.8 times per game. The Mystics on the defensive side of the court are 8th in basketball in points given up per game with 80.9. They are forcing 13.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.8% from the field (6th in the league). The Washington defense concedes 30.8% on 3-point attempts (181 of 587) and their opponents are making 79.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 18.9 assists and 32.8 total rebounds per game, which is 5th and 1st in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Phoenix

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