Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 5/17/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025

Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Youtube TV

The Seattle Storm (25-15 last season) are headed to Footprint Center on Saturday where they'll meet the Phoenix Mercury (19-21 last year).

The Seattle Storm stepped onto the hardwood against the Las Vegas Aces and ended up losing by a score of 83-76 in their last game. Seattle finished having earned a 38.7% FG percentage (29 of 75) and converted 8 out of their 23 3-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Storm buried 10 of their 13 shots for a rate of 76.9%. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they earned 30 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 14 dimes for the game in addition to forcing 17 turnovers and getting 10 steals. In relation to defending, Seattle allowed 47.0% from the field on 31 of 66 shooting. Las Vegas recorded 10 assists and had 15 steals in the matchup. In addition, Las Vegas grabbed 45 rebounds (10 offensive, 35 defensive) and got 8 rejections. Las Vegas finished 87.5% at the free throw line by burying 14 of their 16 shots. They also knocked down 7 of their 22 tries from 3-point land.

Gabby Williams is a player who was a major factor in the matchup. She left the arena with 20 points on 8 of 16 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 38 mins and also collected 5 rebounds. Williams finished the game shooting 50.0% from the field and also recorded 3 assists.

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Seattle steps onto the hardwood after finishing with a win-loss record of 25-15 last year. They turned it over 12.4 times per game and as a unit committed 16.5 personal fouls per game. As a group, Seattle snagged 34.7 boards per contest and accounted for 826 assists last season, which ranked 4th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Storm connected on 28.8% on shots from distance (242 of 840) and 84.0% from the charity stripe. They had an average of 83.2 pts per game (5th in the league) while hitting 43.5% from the field. When they were on defense, the Storm were able to force their opponents into 15.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.4 personal fouls. They were 4th in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 780 relinquished last year. The Storm defensively gave up a shooting percentage of 42.6% (1,152 of 2,707) and they surrendered 36.0 boards per game as a squad. They surrendered 32.9% on 3-pointers and they were 4th in the league in PPG allowed (78.8).

When they last stepped on the court, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a final score of 101-88 against the Minnesota Lynx. The Mercury corralled 24 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 31 in this matchup. They also coughed up the ball 15 times, while recording 6 steals in this contest. The Lynx had 12 fouls in this game which got the Mercury to the free throw line for 14 shots. They were able to make 10 of those for a clip of 71.4%. In relation to shots from distance, Phoenix converted 8 of their 26 attempts (30.8%). When all was said and done, the Mercury ended up shooting 35 out of 68 from the floor which had them shooting 51.5%. The Mercury permitted the Lynx to knock down 34 of 67 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.7% in the game. They finished the game shooting 38.5% from three-point range by connecting on 10 of 26 and finished the game at 23 out of 27 at the free throw line (85.2%). In the matter of attacking the glass, Phoenix permitted Minnesota to pull down 25 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Brittney Griner was important for the Mercury in this contest. She made 10 of 15 in this game giving her a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and totaled 5 rebounds. Griner earned 24 points in her 28 minutes on the hardwood, but finished this game without an assist.

Phoenix had a record of 19-21 last season. Phoenix accounted for 3,258 points last season (81.5 per game) and they averaged 32.3 boards per contest. As an offense, the Mercury shot 43.9% from the field, which had them ranked 7th in the league. The Mercury committed 16.9 fouls per contest and they shot 79.9% from the free throw line. They got an assist 19.9 times per contest (9th in the league) and they turned it over 13.3 times per contest. The Mercury on the defensive side of the court were 9th in the WNBA in PPG given up with 84.8. They gave up 22.0 assists and 37.0 total rebounds per game, which ranked them 11th and 12th in the WNBA. The Phoenix defense gave up 34.2% on 3-point shots (374 of 1,094) and opponents knocked down 77.7% of their free throw shots. They forced 12.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and let teams shoot 43.1% from the field (6th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Seattle

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