Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 7/3/2025 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Youtube TV

The Washington Mystics (8-9) are headed to Target Center on Thursday where they'll take on the Minnesota Lynx (14-2).

The Washington Mystics played the Dallas Wings and took a loss by a final of 79-71 in their last game. Washington walked away from the contest with a 34.4% FG percentage (22 out of 64) and buried 5 out of their 18 three-point shots. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Mystics converted 22 of 25 attempts for a rate of 88.0%. In reference to hauling in rebounds, they earned a total of 26 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 14 assists for this game as well as creating 19 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In the matter of defending, Washington let their opponent shoot 46.8% from the field on 29 of 62 shooting. Dallas distributed 10 dimes and had 7 steals for this contest. Moreover, Dallas collected 41 rebounds (10 offensive, 31 defensive) and got 4 blocked shots. Dallas finished the contest at 94.4% at the charity stripe by knocking down 17 of their 18 shots. They also converted 4 of 11 attempts from three-point range.

Sonia Citron is someone who was a major factor in this game. She scored 22 points on 6 out of 15 shooting. She saw the court for 39 minutes and grabbed 10 boards. Citron finished the game at 40.0% from the floor and totaled 2 assists.

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Washington comes into this one with a mark of 8-9 for the season. The Mystics are connecting on 34.8% on shots from downtown (98 of 282) and 74.8% from the free throw line. They average 79.2 points per outing (11th in basketball) while shooting 42.9% from the field. They are turning it over 14.4 times per contest and as a group are committing 20.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Washington is pulling in 35.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 307 assists so far this year, which is 10th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end, the Mystics are able to force 13.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 22.5 fouls. The Mystics defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 41.9% (224 of 382) and they concede 33.1 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They are 5th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 315 conceded on the year. They give up 30.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 8th in basketball in points per game from their opponents (80.1).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Minnesota Lynx went home victorious with a score of 102-63 when they faced the Connecticut Sun. The Lynx were able to collect 30 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 41 in this matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while earning 8 steals in the game. The Sun committed 20 personal fouls for this contest which got the Lynx to the charity stripe for a total of 24 tries. They were able to knock down 20 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 83.3%. Regarding shots from distance, Minnesota knocked down 10 of their 34 attempts (29.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Lynx shot 36 for 71 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 50.7%. The Lynx permitted the Sun to make 23 of 66 attempts from the field which had them shooting 34.8% for this game. They went 22.2% from beyond the arc by connecting on 4 out of 18 and finished the contest at 13 of 17 from the free throw line (76.5%). With respect to cleaning the glass, Minnesota permitted Connecticut to grab 27 overall (9 on the offensive side).

Napheesa Collier ended up having an impact for the Lynx for this game. She made 9 out of 14 in the game for a rate of 64.3%, and added 9 rebounds. Collier tallied 23 points in her 27 minutes of playing time and added 2 dimes in the game.

Minnesota has a mark of 14-2 so far this season. The Lynx have committed 17.8 fouls per contest and they go 78.8% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 23.9 times per game (1st in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.6 times per game. Minnesota has 1,365 points this season (85.3 per game) and they average 34.2 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Lynx are connecting on 46.7% from the floor, which has them ranked 1st in the WNBA. The Lynx on the defensive end are ranked 2nd in basketball in points allowed per game with 74.1. They relinquish 17.6 dimes and 33.8 boards on a nightly basis, which is 2nd and 7th in the WNBA. The Minnesota defense gives up 29.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (111 of 382) and opponents are knocking down 77.7% of their free throw shots. They are forcing 14.2 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 40.1% from the field (2nd in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington

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