Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 10/17/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+3.0)

Chase Center is the venue where and the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) will play the Atlanta Dream (30-14) on Saturday in Game 1 of the WNBA Finals. The spread on this matchup has Golden State as 3 point favorites. The O/U opens at 154.

The Atlanta Dream faced off with the New York Liberty and took home the win by a score of 85-83 in their last game. Atlanta ended with a 40.6% field goal percentage (28 of 69) and made 7 of 20 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Dream made 22 of 24 attempts for a rate of 91.7%. With respect to hauling in boards, they earned 35 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 22 assists for this game as well as creating 16 turnovers and having 7 steals. In the matter of defense, Atlanta allowed the other team to shoot 43.5% from the floor on 27 of 62 shooting. New York recorded 5 dimes and had 6 steals for this contest. In addition, New York collected 36 boards (5 offensive, 31 defensive) and got 7 blocks. New York ended up going 95.2% from the charity stripe by making 20 of their 21 tries. They also knocked down 9 of 29 shots from long range.

DeWanna Bonner is someone who was a major factor in this game. She ended up walking away with 13 points on 4 out of 8 shooting. She played 32 mins played and also grabbed 13 rebounds. Bonner walked away from this one shooting 50.0% from the field and dished out 1 assist.

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Atlanta enters this matchup with a record of 30-14 this year. They lose possession via turnover 12.6 times per game and as a team are committing 19.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Atlanta is pulling in 35.6 boards per contest and has earned 944 assists on the season, which has them ranked 6th in the league in terms of passing. The Dream are connecting on 32.5% on 3-point shots (394 of 1,212) and 78.6% from the free throw line. They average 91.3 pts per game (3rd in basketball) while hitting 44.2% from the field. Defensively, the Dream are forcing 15.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.2 fouls. They are currently ranked 3rd in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 843 relinquished for the campaign. The Dream are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.9% (676 of 934) and they surrender 31.0 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They give up 34.8% on shots from distance while they are 4th in basketball in PPG allowed (84.5).

In their last game, the Golden State Valkyries went home victorious with a score of 87-77 when they faced the Las Vegas Aces. The Valkyries were able to pull down 20 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 30 for this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while earning 7 steals in this contest. The Aces were called for 17 fouls in this matchup which got the Valkyries to the free throw line for 22 shots. They were able to make 20 of them for a percentage of 90.9%. In relation to three-point attempts, Golden State knocked down 7 of their 24 tries (29.2%). Overall, the Valkyries ended up going 30 for 74 from the floor which had them at 40.5%. The Valkyries allowed the Aces to convert 26 of 68 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 38.2% for this game. They finished the game shooting 35.0% from 3-point land by shooting 7 of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 18 of 22 from the free throw line (81.8%). When discussing team rebounding, Golden State allowed Las Vegas to collect 25 in total (6 on the offensive glass).

Veronica Burton ended up being a factor for the Valkyries in this matchup. She buried 3 of 9 for the matchup for a rate of 33.3%, and tallied 6 rebounds. Burton scored 8 points in her 37 minutes on the court and tallied 4 dimes in the game.

Golden State has a win-loss mark of 32-12 this season. As an offensive team, the Valkyries are connecting on 42.2% from the floor, which has them ranked 15th in the WNBA. Golden State has 3,615 pts so far this year (82.2 per contest) and they grab 33.3 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 19.3 times per contest (13th in basketball) and they turn it over 10.4 times per game. The Valkyries are responsible for committing 19.2 fouls per contest while shooting 77.4% from the free throw line. The Valkyries on the defensive side of the court are 1st in the league in points allowed per game with 75.1. They are able to force 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 41.4% from the floor (1st in the WNBA). The Golden State defense concedes 32.6% on 3-point attempts (353 of 1,082) and their opponents are knocking down 75.9% of their free throw attempts. They concede 18.2 dimes and 32.7 boards per game, which is 1st and 5th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+3.0)

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