Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 10/26/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Monday, October 26, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+1.5)

Chase Center is the venue where and the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) will play the Atlanta Dream (30-14) on Monday in Game 5 of the WNBA Finals. The series is tied 2-2. The line on this game has Golden State as 1.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 150.5.

The Atlanta Dream walked away from Game 4 with a loss by a score of 67-62. Atlanta wrapped up the contest with a 33.3% FG percentage (18 out of 54) and knocked down 4 of their 23 3-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Dream converted 22 of their 31 tries for a rate of 71.0%. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they compiled 37 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 26 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and having 9 steals. When it comes to defending, Atlanta allowed 36.1% from the field on 26 out of 72 shooting. Golden State earned 9 dimes and had 6 steals for the contest. Moreover, Golden State snagged 34 boards (9 offensive, 25 defensive) and had 5 blocks. Golden State shot 84.6% from the free throw line by burying 11 of their 13 tries. They buried 4 out of their 25 shots from downtown.

Rhyne Howard is a player who was a contributor for this contest. She ended up finishing with 19 points on 6 out of 14 shooting. She played for 37 minutes and totaled 8 rebounds. Howard ended up going 42.9% from the floor and also dished out 1 assist.

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Atlanta comes into this one with a mark of 30-14 so far this year. They currently have an average of 91.3 points per outing (3rd in the league) while going 44.2% from the floor. The Dream are hitting 32.5% from downtown (394 of 1,212) and 78.6% from the free throw line. As a team, Atlanta is collecting 35.6 boards per game and has accounted for 944 dimes on the campaign, which ranks 6th in basketball in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 12.6 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 19.6 fouls per game. When they are on the defensive end, the Dream are able to force 15.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.2 personal fouls. They are 3rd in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 843 conceded so far this season. The Dream defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.9% (676 of 934) and they relinquish 31.0 rebounds per game as a group. They give up 34.8% from beyond the arc and they are 4th in basketball in points per game allowed (84.5).

In Game 4, the Valkyries corralled 25 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 in this game. They turned the ball over 15 times, while getting 6 steals for this game. The Dream committed 17 personal fouls for the contest which got the Valkyries to the free throw line for 13 shots. They were able to make 11 of the free throw tries for a rate of 84.6%. In reference to shots from downtown, Golden State knocked down 4 out of 25 tries (16.0%). When the game finished, the Valkyries finished shooting 26 out of 72 from the floor which gave them a rate of 36.1%. The Valkyries permitted the Dream to make 18 of their 54 tries from the floor which had them shooting 33.3% for the matchup. They finished 17.4% from three-point range by shooting 4 of 23 and ended up going 22 out of 31 at the free throw line (71.0%). In relation to rebounds, Golden State permitted Atlanta to get 37 in total (6 offensive).

Gabby Williams was important for the Valkyries in this game. She buried 7 of 21 in this matchup giving her a field goal percentage of 33.3%, and earned 5 rebounds. Williams totaled 17 points in her 37 minutes of playing time and tallied 3 dimes for the game.

Golden State has a win-loss mark of 32-12 for the season. Golden State has totaled 3,615 pts on the year (82.2 per game) and they average 33.3 rebounds per game. The Valkyries have committed 19.2 fouls per game and they shoot 77.4% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Valkyries are connecting on 42.2% from the floor, which is 15th in basketball. They are assisting teammates 19.3 times per contest (13th in the WNBA) and they cough up possession 10.4 times per game. The Valkyries on defense are ranked 1st in the WNBA in PPG surrendered with 75.1. They have surrendered 18.2 assists and 32.7 total boards per game, which ranks 1st and 5th in the WNBA. The Golden State defense allows 32.6% on 3-point attempts (353 of 1,082) and their opponents are connecting on 75.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have forced 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 41.4% from the floor (1st in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+1.5)

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