Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction, 9/21/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty

Date: Monday, September 21, 2026

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: Peacock

The New York Liberty (25-16) play the Atlanta Dream (28-14) at Barclays Center on Monday.

The Atlanta Dream played the Chicago Sky and earned the victory with a final of 106-81 in their last contest. Atlanta walked away from the game having earned a 52.9% FG percentage (36 of 68) and knocked down 13 of their 26 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Dream converted 21 of their 28 shots for a percentage of 75.0%. When it comes to hauling in boards, they collected 42 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 30 dimes in this game while forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and getting 9 steals. In reference to defense, Atlanta allowed their opponent to shoot 46.3% from the floor on 31 out of 67 shooting. Chicago earned 2 assists and had 3 steals for this contest. Additionally, Chicago pulled down 28 rebounds (2 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 6 rejections. Chicago finished shooting 83.3% from the free throw line by knocking down 15 of 18 tries. They buried 4 of their 20 tries from three-point range.

Angel Reese is one player who had an impact in the matchup. She ended up walking away with 23 points on 9 out of 13 shooting. She saw the court for 28 mins and totaled 10 rebounds. Reese ended up shooting 69.2% from the floor and earned 4 assists.

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Atlanta heads into this game with a win-loss record of 28-14 this season. The Dream are shooting 32.7% on shots from distance (376 of 1,149) and 78.5% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 91.5 pts per game (2nd in the league) while hitting 44.3% from the field. They turn the ball over 12.9 times per game and as a unit are committing 19.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Atlanta is pulling in 35.7 rebounds per game and has tallied 902 assists for the season, which has them ranked 2nd in the league in terms of passing the rock. On defense, the Dream are forcing 15.4 turnovers per game and they draw 21.3 fouls. They currently rank 3rd in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 805 conceded for the season. The Dream defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 47.2% (647 of 896) and they relinquish 30.5 rebounds per game as a team. They give up 35.7% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 4th in the WNBA in points per game from their opponents (85.0).

When they last played, the New York Liberty walked away with a victory by a final of 93-81 when they faced the Minnesota Lynx. The Liberty snagged 29 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 37 in this game. They also coughed it up 15 times, while recording 12 steals for the matchup. The Lynx earned 23 fouls in this matchup which took the Liberty to the charity stripe for a total of 16 attempts. They were able to make 12 of them for a clip of 75.0%. In regard to shots from downtown, New York buried 13 out of 29 attempts (44.8%). When the game finished, the Liberty ended up going 34 for 74 from the floor which had them shooting 45.9%. The Liberty allowed the Lynx to make 29 of 74 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 39.2% in the game. They went 27.3% from behind the 3-point line by hitting 6 out of 22 and walked away from this one shooting 17 out of 20 at the free throw line (85.0%). In regard to cleaning the glass, New York permitted Minnesota to snag 38 in total (11 on the offensive side).

Breanna Stewart ended up being a major contributor for the Liberty for this game. She knocked down 8 out of 17 in this game giving her a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and accumulated 10 rebounds. Stewart earned 24 points in her 38 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 dimes in the matchup.

New York has a record of 25-16 on the year. New York has scored 3,686 points on the campaign (89.9 per game) and they pull down 35.3 boards per contest. The Liberty are responsible for committing 18.6 personal fouls per contest and they hit 84.8% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Liberty are connecting on 46.0% from the floor, which is ranked 6th in the WNBA. They are earning an assist 20.7 times per contest (8th in basketball) and they are giving up possession 13.6 times per game. The Liberty on the defensive side of the court are 7th in the WNBA in PPG given up with 86.7. They are able to force 11.2 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.1% from the field (8th in basketball). The New York defense surrenders 35.1% from downtown (375 of 1,069) and their opposition knocks down 74.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 21.6 dimes and 31.6 boards per contest, which ranks 12th and 4th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta

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